Open
Geopolitics
2026 Colombian Presidential Election
2026_colombian_presidential_election resolves 2026-05-31
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 14
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6131: llm_two_phase:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · phase-b · matched=12 · venues=2 · candidates=13 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,colombian,presidential,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Colombian Yes | 0.0005 | — | $2.39M | $75.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Colombian No | 1.000 | — | $2.39M | $75.1k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- colombian Colombian
- espriella Espriella
- abelardo Abelardo
- claudia_lopez Claudia López
- efrain_cepeda Efraín Cepeda
- german_vargas_lleras Germán Vargas Lleras
- ivan_cepeda Iván Cepeda
- juan_manuel_galan Juan Manuel Galán
- l_g_murillo L.G Murillo
- mauricio_gomez_amin Mauricio Gómez Amín
- paloma_valencia Paloma Valencia
- sergio_fajardo Sergio Fajardo
- vicky_davila Vicky Dávila
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
proposal #6226: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.30 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- 569367
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.39M
- Status
- Active