Geopolitics
2026 Colombian Presidential Election
2026_colombian_presidential_election resolves 2026-05-31
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 12
- Linked markets
- 7 · 4 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Futuur
curacao
|
Abelardo de la Espriella Abelardo de la Espriella | 0.870 | — | $4.6k | —1 | futuur | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Abelardo de la Espriella | 0.810 | — | $1.5k | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Futuur
curacao
|
Iván Cepeda Iván Cepeda Castro | 0.160 | — | $4.6k | —1 | futuur | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Iván Cepeda | 0.188 | — | $1.5k | —1 | metaculus | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
no no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 1.000 | — | $3.02M | $192.2k | polymarket | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
Other Another candidate | 0.0010 | — | $1.5k | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Futuur
curacao
|
Paloma Valencia Paloma Valencia | 0.040 | — | $4.6k | —1 | futuur | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Paloma Valencia | 0.0010 | — | $1.5k | —1 | metaculus | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
yes yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yes Yes | 0.0005 | — | $3.02M | $192.2k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Colombian presidential election, 2022 ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- claudia_lopez Claudia López
- abelardo_de_la_espriella Abelardo de la Espriella AbelardoEspriellaDe la Espriellade la Espriella
- efrain_cepeda Efraín Cepeda
- german_vargas_lleras Germán Vargas Lleras
- ivan_cepeda Iván Cepeda
- juan_manuel_galan Juan Manuel Galán
- l_g_murillo L.G Murillo
- mauricio_gomez_amin Mauricio Gómez Amín
- paloma_valencia Paloma Valencia
- sergio_fajardo Sergio Fajardo
- vicky_davila Vicky Dávila
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Winner of Colombia's presidential election
proposal #18323: title_jaccard=0.40 · date_prox=1.00
- External ID
- 238411
- Matched
- 27d ago
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
proposal #18354: title_jaccard=1.00 · date_prox=0.59 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- 43345
- Matched
- 27d ago
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Status
- Inactive · Closed
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
proposal #8833: chain from discovery proposal #8602: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 569356
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $3.02M
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — L.G. Murillo
proposal #6212: chain from discovery proposal #6131: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33421
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Claudia López
proposal #6217: chain from discovery proposal #6131: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33428
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Juan Manuel Galán
proposal #6214: chain from discovery proposal #6131: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33423
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Vicky Dávila
proposal #6216: chain from discovery proposal #6131: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33427
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active