Macro Indicators
World's First Trillionaire by 2030
world_first_trillionaire_2030 resolves 2030-01-01
- Category
- Macro Indicators
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 12
- Linked markets
- 8 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sam Altman yes | 0.010 | — | $12.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sam Altman no | 0.990 | — | $12.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Bernard Arnault yes | 0.010 | — | $15.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Bernard Arnault no | 0.990 | — | $15.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Steve Ballmer yes | 0.010 | — | $10.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Steve Ballmer no | 0.990 | — | $10.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jeff Bezos yes | 0.010 | — | $38.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jeff Bezos no | 0.990 | — | $38.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sergey Brin yes | 0.010 | — | $8.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sergey Brin no | 0.990 | — | $8.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Warren Buffet yes | 0.010 | — | $9.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Warren Buffet no | 0.990 | — | $9.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jensen Huang yes | 0.010 | — | $38.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jensen Huang no | 0.990 | — | $38.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Elon Musk yes | 0.995 | — | $154.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Elon Musk no | 0.0050 | — | $154.3k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Wealth concentration ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- larry_ellison Larry Ellison
- larry_page Larry Page
- mark_zuckerberg Mark Zuckerberg
- other Other
- musk Elon Musk
- buffet Warren Buffet
- altman Sam Altman
- bezos Jeff Bezos
- arnault Bernard Arnault
- brin Sergey Brin
- huang Jensen Huang
- ballmer Steve Ballmer
§ Linked markets
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5657: expansion: detected entity "Elon Musk" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $154.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Warren Buffet be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5660: expansion: detected entity "Warren Buffet" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-WB
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Sam Altman be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5664: expansion: detected entity "Sam Altman" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-SA
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Jeff Bezos be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5658: expansion: detected entity "Jeff Bezos" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-JB
- Matched
- 35d ago
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Bernard Arnault & family be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5659: expansion: detected entity "Bernard Arnault" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-BA
- Matched
- 35d ago
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Sergey Brin be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5661: expansion: detected entity "Sergey Brin" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-SRB
- Matched
- 35d ago
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Jensen Huang be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5663: expansion: detected entity "Jensen Huang" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-JH
- Matched
- 35d ago
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Steve Ballmer be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5662: expansion: detected entity "Steve Ballmer" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-SB
- Matched
- 35d ago
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Status
- Inactive