Macro Indicators
World's First Trillionaire by 2030
world_first_trillionaire_2030 resolves 2030-01-01
- Category
- Macro Indicators
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 7
- Linked markets
- 3 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #5315: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three individual-candidate binaries on the same underlying event (who becomes world's first trillionaire by 2030) with identical resolution dates. Maps cleanly to categorical canonical. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sam Altman yes | 0.010 | — | $12.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sam Altman no | 0.990 | — | $12.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Warren Buffet yes | 0.010 | — | $9.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Warren Buffet no | 0.990 | — | $9.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Elon Musk yes | 0.875 | — | $112.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Elon Musk no | 0.125 | — | $112.9k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- larry_ellison Larry Ellison
- larry_page Larry Page
- mark_zuckerberg Mark Zuckerberg
- other Other
- musk Elon Musk
- buffet Warren Buffet
- altman Sam Altman
§ Linked markets
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5657: expansion: detected entity "Elon Musk" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $112.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Warren Buffet be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5660: expansion: detected entity "Warren Buffet" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-WB
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Sam Altman be the world's first trillionaire?
proposal #5664: expansion: detected entity "Sam Altman" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-SA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Status
- Active