Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №059 · Last revised 2026-06-15
Resolved

Geopolitics

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Signed in 2026

us_iran_nuclear_deal_2026 resolves 2026-12-31

Category
Geopolitics
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
2
Linked markets
2 · 2 venues

[resolution by news] BBC News (World): Oil prices slide after Pakistan announces deal between US and Iran (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c6217106px6o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss)

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
no No 0.045 — $2.32M $147.6k polymarket
Futuur curacao
Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 0.670 — $555 —1 futuur
Polymarket us
yes Yes 0.955 — $2.32M $147.6k polymarket

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • yes yes
  • no no