Open
AI & ML
Will OpenAI Announce AGI Before 2027
openai_agi_before_2027 resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- AI & ML
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #8876: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=2 · venues=1 · candidates=0 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[openai,agi,2027]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
no No | 0.855 | — | $65.7k | $8.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
yes Yes | 0.145 | — | $65.7k | $8.5k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
proposal #9041: title_jaccard=0.43 · date_prox=1.00 · category=ai_ml · year_overlap
- External ID
- 653788
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Status
- Active