Entertainment
Eurovision 2026 Grand Final Winner
eurovision_2026_winner resolves 2026-05-16
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 41
- Linked markets
- 4 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #9864: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=35 · venues=1 · candidates=36 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[eurovision,2026,grand,final]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Georgia Yes | 0.0025 | — | $39.2k | $25.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Georgia No | 0.998 | — | $39.2k | $25.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Moldova Yes | 0.0055 | — | $49.7k | $18.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Moldova No | 0.995 | — | $49.7k | $18.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
San Marino Yes | 0.0015 | — | $30.3k | $24.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT San Marino No | 0.999 | — | $30.3k | $24.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
United Kingdom Yes | 0.0025 | — | $49.4k | $19.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT United Kingdom No | 0.998 | — | $49.4k | $19.1k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- eurovision Eurovision
- grand_final Grand Final
- jury Jury
- albania Albania
- armenia Armenia
- australia Australia
- austria Austria
- azerbaijan Azerbaijan
- belgium Belgium
- bulgaria Bulgaria
- croatia Croatia
- cyprus Cyprus
- czechia Czechia
- denmark Denmark
- estonia Estonia
- finland Finland
- france France
- germany Germany
- greece Greece
- israel Israel
- italy Italy
- latvia Latvia
- lithuania Lithuania
- luxembourg Luxembourg
- malta Malta
- montenegro Montenegro
- norway Norway
- poland Poland
- portugal Portugal
- romania Romania
- san_marino San Marino
- serbia Serbia
- sweden Sweden
- switzerland Switzerland
- ukraine Ukraine
- united_kingdom United Kingdom
- other Other
- moldova Moldova
- united-kingdom United Kingdom
- georgia Georgia
- san-marino San Marino
§ Linked markets
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
proposal #9926: expansion: detected entity "Moldova" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1541204
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $49.7k
- Status
- Active
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
proposal #9927: expansion: detected entity "United Kingdom" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1541215
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $49.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
proposal #9933: expansion: detected entity "Georgia" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1541195
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $39.2k
- Status
- Active
Will San Marino be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
proposal #9938: expansion: detected entity "San Marino" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1541210
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Status
- Active