Geopolitics
Denmark Prime Minister After 2026 Election
denmark_pm_2026_election resolves 2026-03-24
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 8
- Linked markets
- 7 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #905: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three complementary markets on the same Danish 2026 election PM outcome, all resolving same date. Categorical structure needed as field is open-ended despite three named candidates. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Alex Vanopslagh Yes | 0.0020 | — | $688.0k | $19.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Alex Vanopslagh No | 0.998 | — | $688.0k | $19.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Pia Olsen Dyhr Yes | 0.0005 | — | $124.6k | $13.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Pia Olsen Dyhr No | 1.000 | — | $124.6k | $13.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Mona Juul Yes | 0.0010 | — | $135.8k | $14.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mona Juul No | 0.999 | — | $135.8k | $14.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Mette Frederiksen Yes | 0.935 | — | $1.29M | $53.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mette Frederiksen No | 0.065 | — | $1.29M | $53.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Morten Messerschmidt Yes | 0.0040 | — | $2.09M | $34.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Morten Messerschmidt No | 0.996 | — | $2.09M | $34.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Troels Lund Poulsen Yes | 0.018 | — | $1.18M | $10.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Troels Lund Poulsen No | 0.982 | — | $1.18M | $10.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Lars Løkke Rasmussen Yes | 0.051 | — | $2.08M | $25.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Lars Løkke Rasmussen No | 0.949 | — | $2.08M | $25.5k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- morten_messerschmidt Morten Messerschmidt
- mette_frederiksen Mette Frederiksen
- alex_vanopslagh Alex Vanopslagh
- other Other
- rasmussen Lars Løkke Rasmussen
- poulsen Troels Lund Poulsen
- juul Mona Juul
- dyhr Pia Olsen Dyhr
§ Linked markets
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
proposal #974: title_jaccard=0.40 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=morten_messerschmidt
- External ID
- 1451230
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $2.09M
- Status
- Active
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
proposal #975: title_jaccard=0.40 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mette_frederiksen
- External ID
- 1451224
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Status
- Active
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
proposal #976: title_jaccard=0.40 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=alex_vanopslagh
- External ID
- 1451229
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $688.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
proposal #1117: expansion: detected entity "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1451225
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.08M
- Status
- Active
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
proposal #1357: expansion: detected entity "Troels Lund Poulsen" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1451226
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Status
- Active
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
proposal #1514: expansion: detected entity "Mona Juul" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1451234
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $135.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
proposal #1522: expansion: detected entity "Pia Olsen Dyhr" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1451228
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $124.6k
- Status
- Active