Open
Geopolitics
Will China Invade Taiwan by 2027
china_invade_taiwan resolves 2027-12-31
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
no No | 0.855 | — | $1.10M | $189.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
yes Yes | 0.145 | — | $1.10M | $189.8k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Cross-strait relations ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
proposal #11394: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=geopolitics · year_overlap
- External ID
- 1633611
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Status
- Active