Event №098 · Last revised 2026-04-28
Open

Geopolitics

Next Leader of the Chinese Communist Party Before 2045

ccp_leader_next_before_2045 resolves 2045-01-01

Category
Geopolitics
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
17
Linked markets
1 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
no no 0.985 $332 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.015 $332 1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: General Secretary of the Communist Party of China ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • zhao_leji Zhao Leji
  • he_lifeng He Lifeng
  • ma_xingrui Ma Xingrui
  • other Other
  • xuexiang Ding Xuexiang
  • jining Chen Jining
  • qiang Li Qiang
  • qi Cai Qi
  • xi Li Xi
  • ganjie Li Ganjie
  • miner Chen Min'er
  • yong Yin Yong
  • li Yin Li
  • communist_party_ccp Communist Party CCP
  • jan Jan
  • wang_huning Wang Huning
  • zhang_guoqing Zhang Guoqing