Sports
2026 Ballon d'Or Winner
ballon_dor_winner_2026 resolves 2026-10-31
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 25
- Linked markets
- 24 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Achraf Hakimi Achraf Hakimi | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Achraf Hakimi Yes | 0.011 | — | $37.7k | $35.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Achraf Hakimi No | 0.990 | — | $37.7k | $35.5k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Alexander Isak Alexander Isak | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Bradley Barcola Bradley Barcola | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Bruno Fernandes Yes | 0.0055 | — | $57.2k | $30.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Bruno Fernandes No | 0.995 | — | $57.2k | $30.8k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Bukayo Saka Bukayo Saka | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Cole Palmer Cole Palmer | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cole Palmer Yes | 0.0025 | — | $110.6k | $44.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cole Palmer No | 0.998 | — | $110.6k | $44.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cristiano Ronaldo Yes | 0.026 | — | $76.8k | $44.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cristiano Ronaldo No | 0.974 | — | $76.8k | $44.7k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Declan Rice Declan Rice | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Declan Rice Yes | 0.035 | — | $79.7k | $31.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Declan Rice No | 0.966 | — | $79.7k | $31.1k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Desire Doue Desire Doue | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Desire Doue Yes | 0.0055 | — | $41.6k | $22.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Desire Doue No | 0.995 | — | $41.6k | $22.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Dominik Szoboszlai Yes | 0.0015 | — | $89.8k | $40.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Dominik Szoboszlai No | 0.999 | — | $89.8k | $40.9k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Eberechi Eze Eberechi Eze | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Endrick Endrick | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Erling Haaland Erling Haaland | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Erling Haaland Erling Haaland | 0.033 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.025 | — | $282.9k | $30.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Erling Haaland No | 0.975 | — | $282.9k | $30.4k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Fabian Ruiz Fabian Ruiz | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Federico Valverde Yes | 0.0015 | — | $45.9k | $27.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Federico Valverde No | 0.999 | — | $45.9k | $27.5k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ferreira Vitinha Ferreira Vitinha | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Gianluigi Donnarumma Gianluigi Donnarumma | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Gianluigoi Donnarumma Gianluigoi Donnarumma | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Harry Kane Harry Kane | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Harry Kane Harry Kane | 0.500 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Hugo Ekitike Hugo Ekitike | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jamal Musiala Jamal Musiala | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jude Bellingham Jude Bellingham | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jude Bellingham Yes | 0.0040 | — | $268.5k | $39.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jude Bellingham No | 0.996 | — | $268.5k | $39.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Julian Alvarez Yes | 0.0050 | — | $46.3k | $20.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Julian Alvarez No | 0.995 | — | $46.3k | $20.0k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Yes | 0.013 | — | $85.5k | $18.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Khvicha Kvaratskhelia No | 0.987 | — | $85.5k | $18.5k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kylian Mbappe Kylian Mbappe | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé | 0.500 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.125 | — | $165.3k | $23.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kylian Mbappé No | 0.875 | — | $165.3k | $23.5k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Lamine Yamal Lamine Yamal | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Lamine Yamal Lamine Yamal | 0.500 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.110 | — | $97.9k | $24.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Lamine Yamal No | 0.890 | — | $97.9k | $24.4k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Lautaro Martinez Yes | 0.013 | — | $52.1k | $30.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Lautaro Martinez No | 0.987 | — | $52.1k | $30.2k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Lionel Messi Lionel Messi | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Luis Diaz Yes | 0.0065 | — | $47.9k | $19.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Luis Diaz No | 0.994 | — | $47.9k | $19.0k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Michael Olise Michael Olise | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Michael Olise Yes | 0.109 | — | $105.9k | $15.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Michael Olise No | 0.891 | — | $105.9k | $15.4k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah | 0.0070 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0025 | — | $334.4k | $44.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mohamed Salah No | 0.998 | — | $334.4k | $44.8k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ousmane Dembele Ousmane Dembele | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Ousmane Dembélé Ousmane Dembélé | 0.500 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Pedri Pedri | 0.019 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.015 | — | $292.4k | $22.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Pedri No | 0.985 | — | $292.4k | $22.0k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Pedri Pedri | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Raphinha Yes | 0.0025 | — | $45.1k | $19.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Raphinha No | 0.998 | — | $45.1k | $19.3k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Raphinha Raphinha | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Rayan Cherki Rayan Cherki | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Robert Lewandowski Robert Lewandowski | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Scott McTominay Scott McTominay | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Viktor Gyokeres Viktor Gyokeres | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Vinícius Junior Vinícius Junior | — | — | $9.0k | $58.6k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Vinícius Júnior Vinícius Júnior | 0.014 | — | $391 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.013 | — | $482.3k | $18.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Vinícius Júnior No | 0.988 | — | $482.3k | $18.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Vitinha Yes | 0.081 | — | $76.0k | $24.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Vitinha No | 0.919 | — | $76.0k | $24.3k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- harry_kane Harry Kane
- ousmane_dembele Ousmane Dembélé
- other Other Winner
- vinicius-junior Vinícius Júnior
- pedri Pedri
- erling-haaland Erling Haaland
- jude-bellingham Jude Bellingham
- mohamed-salah Mohamed Salah
- kylian-mbappe Kylian Mbappé
- lamine-yamal Lamine Yamal
- michael-olise Michael Olise
- cole-palmer Cole Palmer
- cristiano-ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo
- vitinha Vitinha
- luis-diaz Luis Diaz
- declan-rice Declan Rice
- khvicha-kvaratskhelia Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
- bruno-fernandes Bruno Fernandes
- raphinha Raphinha
- achraf-hakimi Achraf Hakimi
- julian-alvarez Julian Alvarez
- lautaro-martinez Lautaro Martinez
- desire-doue Desire Doue
- federico-valverde Federico Valverde
- dominik-szoboszlai Dominik Szoboszlai
§ Linked markets
Specials · Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
proposal #5108: chain from discovery proposal #4615: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.248176615
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Status
- Active
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
proposal #26085: title_jaccard=1.00 · date_prox=0.98 · year_overlap
- External ID
- limitless_10005591
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $391
- Status
- Active
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #5119: expansion: detected entity "Erling Haaland" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608541
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $282.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #5121: expansion: detected entity "Jude Bellingham" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608542
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $268.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #5122: expansion: detected entity "Mohamed Salah" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608544
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $334.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #7447: expansion: detected entity "Kylian Mbappé" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608540
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $165.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #7628: expansion: detected entity "Lamine Yamal" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608545
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $97.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #7758: expansion: detected entity "Michael Olise" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608551
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $105.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #7841: expansion: detected entity "Cole Palmer" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608549
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $110.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #7988: expansion: detected entity "Cristiano Ronaldo" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608564
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $76.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #7994: expansion: detected entity "Vitinha" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608554
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $76.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #8038: expansion: detected entity "Luis Diaz" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608561
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $47.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #5117: expansion: detected entity "Vinícius Júnior" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608546
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $482.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #8215: expansion: detected entity "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608553
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $85.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #8617: expansion: detected entity "Bruno Fernandes" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608560
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $57.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #8829: expansion: detected entity "Raphinha" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608558
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #8896: expansion: detected entity "Achraf Hakimi" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608559
- Matched
- 49d ago
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #10471: expansion: detected entity "Julian Alvarez" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608556
- Matched
- 48d ago
- Volume
- $46.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #10983: expansion: detected entity "Lautaro Martinez" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608562
- Matched
- 47d ago
- Volume
- $52.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #10988: expansion: detected entity "Desire Doue" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608557
- Matched
- 47d ago
- Volume
- $41.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #10989: expansion: detected entity "Federico Valverde" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608555
- Matched
- 47d ago
- Volume
- $45.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #10990: expansion: detected entity "Dominik Szoboszlai" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608563
- Matched
- 47d ago
- Volume
- $89.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #8075: expansion: detected entity "Declan Rice" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608552
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $79.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
proposal #5118: expansion: detected entity "Pedri" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 608548
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $292.4k
- Status
- Active