US Elections
2028 US Presidential Election Winner
2028_us_presidential_election_winner resolves 2028-11-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 25
- Linked markets
- 41 · 6 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Aaron Rodgers Aaron Rodgers | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Greg Abbott Yes | 0.0085 | — | $34.46M | $2.13M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Greg Abbott No | 0.992 | — | $34.46M | $2.13M | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Abigail Spanberger Abigail Spanberger | 0.0031 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Alex Jones Alex Jones | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0.067 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Amy Klobuchar Amy Klobuchar | 0.0034 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Andrew Cuomo Andrew Cuomo | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Andrew Yang Andrew Yang | 0.0020 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Andy Beshear Andy Beshear | 0.017 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Anthony Scaramucci Anthony Scaramucci | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ben Shapiro Ben Shapiro | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Bernie Sanders Bernie Sanders | 0.0024 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Andy Beshear Andy Beshear | 0.030 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.017 | — | $18.45M | $496.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.025 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Andy Beshear No | 0.984 | — | $18.45M | $496.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.975 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Brian Kemp Brian Kemp | 0.0040 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Pete Buttigieg Pete Buttigieg | 0.110 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.022 | — | $4.69M | $504.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.045 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Pete Buttigieg No | 0.978 | — | $4.69M | $504.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.955 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Caitlyn Jenner Caitlyn Jenner | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Candace Owens Candace Owens | 0.0043 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Tucker Carlson Yes | 0.028 | — | $11.84M | $309.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tucker Carlson No | 0.973 | — | $11.84M | $309.7k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Chris Murphy Chris Murphy | 0.0050 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Cory Booker Cory Booker | 0.0063 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Dana White Dana White | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis | 0.090 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.022 | — | $11.85M | $234.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ron DeSantis No | 0.978 | — | $11.85M | $234.3k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Donald Trump Jr. Donald Trump Jr. | 0.015 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Dwayne Johnson Dwayne Johnson | 0.0043 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Elissa Slotkin Elissa Slotkin | 0.0034 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Elizabeth Warren Elizabeth Warren | 0.010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Eric Trump Eric Trump | 0.0050 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Erika Kirk Erika Kirk | 0.0032 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Tulsi Gabbard Tulsi Gabbard | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $31.56M | $1.43M | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tulsi Gabbard No | 0.993 | — | $31.56M | $1.43M | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Gavin Newsom Gavin Newsom | 0.161 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
George Clooney George Clooney | 0.0018 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Gina Raimondo Gina Raimondo | 0.0020 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Glenn Youngkin Glenn Youngkin | 0.0063 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Graham Platner Graham Platner | 0.0029 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Greg Abbott Greg Abbott | 0.0017 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Gretchen Whitmer Gretchen Whitmer | 0.018 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Nikki Haley Nikki Haley | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $27.58M | $1.89M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Nikki Haley No | 0.994 | — | $27.58M | $1.89M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Pete Hegseth Yes | 0.0065 | — | $7.43M | $1.82M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Pete Hegseth No | 0.994 | — | $7.43M | $1.82M | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton | 0.0018 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Hunter Biden Hunter Biden | 0.0016 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ivanka Trump Ivanka Trump | 0.022 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
J.B Pritzker J.B Pritzker | 0.013 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jake Auchincloss Jake Auchincloss | 0.0013 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
James Talarico James Talarico | 0.014 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jamie Dimon Jamie Dimon | 0.011 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jared Kushner Jared Kushner | 0.0014 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jasmine Crockett Jasmine Crockett | 0.0013 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
JD Vance JD Vance | 0.161 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jimmy Kimmel Jimmy Kimmel | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Joe Kent Joe Kent | 0.0028 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Joe Manchin Joe Manchin | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Joe Rogan Joe Rogan | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
John Fetterman John Fetterman | 0.0071 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jon Ossoff Jon Ossoff | 0.063 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jon Stewart Jon Stewart | 0.012 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Josh Hawley Josh Hawley | 0.0031 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Josh Shapiro Josh Shapiro | 0.022 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kamala Harris Kamala Harris | 0.026 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kanye West Kanye West | 0.0011 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kara Swisher Kara Swisher | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Ro Khanna Ro Khanna | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.011 | — | $10.01M | $270.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ro Khanna No | 0.989 | — | $10.01M | $270.8k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kim Kardashian Kim Kardashian | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kristi Noem Kristi Noem | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Lara Trump Lara Trump | 0.0020 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Lauren Boebert Lauren Boebert | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Lebron James Lebron James | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Leonardo DiCaprio Leonardo DiCaprio | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Liz Cheney Liz Cheney | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mallory McMorrow Mallory McMorrow | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Marco Rubio Marco Rubio | 0.116 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Marjorie Taylor Greene Marjorie Taylor Greene | 0.011 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mark Cuban Mark Cuban | 0.0037 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mark Kelly Mark Kelly | 0.015 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mark Zuckerberg Mark Zuckerberg | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mary Peltola Mary Peltola | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Thomas Massie Yes | 0.011 | — | $6.78M | $839.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Thomas Massie No | 0.989 | — | $6.78M | $839.0k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Megyn Kelly Megyn Kelly | 0.0017 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Michael Bloomberg Michael Bloomberg | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Michelle Obama Michelle Obama | 0.012 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mike Pence Mike Pence | 0.0024 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mikie Sherill Mikie Sherill | 0.0017 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Wes Moore Wes Moore | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $10.28M | $1.08M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Wes Moore No | 0.993 | — | $10.28M | $1.08M | polymarket | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Gavin Newsom Gavin Newsom | 0.160 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
↳ Gavin Newsom | 0.155 | — | $10.4k | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.158 | — | $17.04M | $385.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.175 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Gavin Newsom No | 0.843 | — | $17.04M | $385.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.825 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Nikki Haley Nikki Haley | 0.0071 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Michelle Obama Yes | 0.0075 | — | $17.44M | $1.57M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Michelle Obama No | 0.993 | — | $17.44M | $1.57M | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Oprah Winfrey Oprah Winfrey | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Jon Ossoff Jon Ossoff | 0.170 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.051 | — | $4.68M | $358.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.065 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jon Ossoff No | 0.949 | — | $4.68M | $358.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.935 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Other Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0.077 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
↳ Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0.052 | — | $20.8k | —1 | limitless | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Pete Buttigieg Pete Buttigieg | 0.031 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Pete Hegseth Pete Hegseth | 0.0018 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
JB Pritzker JB Pritzker | 0.080 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0095 | — | $12.11M | $545.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.015 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT JB Pritzker No | 0.991 | — | $12.11M | $545.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.985 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Rahm Emanuel Rahm Emanuel | 0.0063 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Vivek Ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $35.32M | $1.55M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Vivek Ramaswamy No | 0.994 | — | $35.32M | $1.55M | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Rand Paul Rand Paul | 0.0026 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Raphael Warnock Raphael Warnock | 0.0037 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ro Khanna Ro Khanna | 0.012 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0.0038 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Roger Goodell Roger Goodell | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis | 0.026 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Roy Cooper Roy Cooper | 0.0013 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ruben Gallego Ruben Gallego | 0.0036 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Marco Rubio Marco Rubio | 0.170 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
↳ Marco Rubio | 0.148 | — | $10.4k | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.158 | — | $10.56M | $350.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.165 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Marco Rubio No | 0.843 | — | $10.56M | $350.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.835 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Scott Bessent Scott Bessent | 0.0012 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Scott Galloway Scott Galloway | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Scott Jennings Scott Jennings | 0.0011 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Josh Shapiro Josh Shapiro | 0.090 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
↳ Josh Shapiro | 0.033 | — | $10.4k | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.029 | — | $6.68M | $443.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.045 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Josh Shapiro No | 0.971 | — | $6.68M | $443.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.955 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Stephen A. Smith Stephen A. Smith | 0.0022 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Steve Bannon Steve Bannon | 0.0029 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Taylor Swift Taylor Swift | 0.0011 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ted Cruz Ted Cruz | 0.0048 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Thomas Massie Thomas Massie | 0.015 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tim Scott Tim Scott | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tim Walz Tim Walz | 0.0020 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tom Brady Tom Brady | 0.0010 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tom Cotton Tom Cotton | 0.0071 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Donald Trump Donald Trump | 0.021 | — | $10.4k | —1 | limitless | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0090 | — | $32.95M | $3.16M | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.025 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Donald Trump No | 0.991 | — | $32.95M | $3.16M | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.975 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tucker Carlson Tucker Carlson | 0.033 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tulsi Gabbard Tulsi Gabbard | 0.011 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
JD Vance JD Vance | 0.170 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
↳ JD Vance | 0.205 | — | $10.4k | —1 | limitless | |
|
Manifold Markets
us
|
↳ yes | 0.190 | — | $6.0k | $1.0k | manifold | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.167 | — | $13.69M | $654.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.230 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Manifold Markets
us
|
NOT JD Vance no | 0.810 | — | $6.0k | $1.0k | manifold | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.834 | — | $13.69M | $654.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.770 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Vivek Ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy | 0.0036 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Tim Walz Tim Walz | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $42.51M | $1.92M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tim Walz No | 0.994 | — | $42.51M | $1.92M | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Wes Moore Wes Moore | 0.012 | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Gretchen Whitmer Gretchen Whitmer | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $12.72M | $1.44M | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.025 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Gretchen Whitmer No | 0.994 | — | $12.72M | $1.44M | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.975 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Crypto.com
us
|
Glenn Youngkin Glenn Youngkin | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | crypto_com | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $25.05M | $1.23M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Glenn Youngkin No | 0.993 | — | $25.05M | $1.23M | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Zohran Mamdani Zohran Mamdani | — | — | $957.7k | $386.0k | betfair |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2028 United States presidential election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- beshear Andy Beshear
- trump_jr Donald Trump Jr.
- trump Donald Trump
- other Other
- walz Tim Walz
- abbott Greg Abbott
- ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy
- gabbard Tulsi Gabbard
- haley Nikki Haley
- youngkin Glenn Youngkin
- newsom Gavin Newsom
- obama Michelle Obama
- pritzker JB Pritzker
- vance JD Vance
- carlson Tucker Carlson
- desantis Ron DeSantis
- whitmer Gretchen Whitmer
- rubio Marco Rubio
- moore Wes Moore
- khanna Ro Khanna
- shapiro Josh Shapiro
- hegseth Pete Hegseth
- buttigieg Pete Buttigieg
- massie Thomas Massie
- ossoff Jon Ossoff
§ Linked markets
USA - Presidential Election 2028 · Election Winner
proposal #5426: chain from discovery proposal #5282: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.235690682
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $957.7k
- Status
- Active
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
proposal #18329: title_jaccard=1.00 · date_prox=0.98 · category=us_elections · year_overlap
- External ID
- 53443080-d7eb-4e48-bd2c-620b6b217e3c
- Matched
- 29d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Presidential Election Winner 2028
proposal #28402: title_jaccard=0.75 · date_prox=0.98 · category=us_elections · year_overlap
- External ID
- limitless_10000449
- Matched
- 28d ago
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Status
- Active
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5719: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.96 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=vance
- External ID
- wpdomi6nif
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Status
- Active
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
proposal #5427: chain from discovery proposal #5282: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5436: expansion: detected entity "Tulsi Gabbard" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561242
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $31.56M
- Status
- Active
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5437: expansion: detected entity "Nikki Haley" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561245
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $27.58M
- Status
- Active
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5439: expansion: detected entity "Glenn Youngkin" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561238
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $25.05M
- Status
- Active
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5424: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=beshear
- External ID
- 561237
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $18.45M
- Status
- Active
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5442: expansion: detected entity "Michelle Obama" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561257
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $17.44M
- Status
- Active
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5444: expansion: detected entity "JB Pritzker" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561241
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $12.11M
- Status
- Active
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5445: expansion: detected entity "JD Vance" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561229
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $13.69M
- Status
- Active
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5446: expansion: detected entity "Tucker Carlson" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561253
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $11.84M
- Status
- Active
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5447: expansion: detected entity "Ron DeSantis" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561246
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $11.85M
- Status
- Active
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5448: expansion: detected entity "Gretchen Whitmer" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561236
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $12.72M
- Status
- Active
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5449: expansion: detected entity "Marco Rubio" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561234
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $10.56M
- Status
- Active
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5451: expansion: detected entity "Wes Moore" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561235
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $10.28M
- Status
- Active
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5452: expansion: detected entity "Ro Khanna" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561259
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $10.01M
- Status
- Active
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5454: expansion: detected entity "Josh Shapiro" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561233
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $6.68M
- Status
- Active
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5455: expansion: detected entity "Pete Hegseth" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561264
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $7.43M
- Status
- Active
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5457: expansion: detected entity "Pete Buttigieg" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561232
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $4.69M
- Status
- Active
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5458: expansion: detected entity "Thomas Massie" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561260
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $6.78M
- Status
- Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5459: expansion: detected entity "Jon Ossoff" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561261
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $4.68M
- Status
- Active
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5441: expansion: detected entity "Gavin Newsom" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561230
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $17.04M
- Status
- Active
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5693: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump
- External ID
- 561243
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $8.49M
- Status
- Active
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5431: expansion: detected entity "Tim Walz" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561247
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $42.51M
- Status
- Active
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5433: expansion: detected entity "Greg Abbott" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561249
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $34.46M
- Status
- Active
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5434: expansion: detected entity "Vivek Ramaswamy" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 561248
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $35.32M
- Status
- Active
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5692: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump
- External ID
- 561263
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $17.47M
- Status
- Active
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #5694: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump
- External ID
- 561255
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $7.00M
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JB Pritzker
proposal #6082: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pritzker
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32682
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Tulsi Gabbard
proposal #6083: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=gabbard
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32025
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Jon Ossoff
proposal #6092: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ossoff
- External ID
- predictit_contract_34386
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Pete Buttigieg
proposal #6093: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=buttigieg
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32022
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Andy Beshear
proposal #5428: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=beshear
- External ID
- predictit_contract_34444
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Gretchen Whitmer
proposal #6081: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.29 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=whitmer
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32026
- Matched
- 28d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Gavin Newsom
proposal #6078: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=newsom
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32023
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance
proposal #6077: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=vance
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32018
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Donald Trump
proposal #5429: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32066
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Marco Rubio
proposal #6079: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rubio
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32024
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Josh Shapiro
proposal #6080: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=shapiro
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32020
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active