US Elections
2028 Republican Presidential Nominee
2028_republican_presidential_nominee resolves 2028-08-15
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 3
- Linked markets
- 3 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Brian Kemp Brian Kemp | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Don Bacon Don Bacon | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Donald Trump Jr. Donald Trump Jr. | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Eric Trump Eric Trump | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Erika Kirk Erika Kirk | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Glenn Youngkin Glenn Youngkin | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Greg Abbott Greg Abbott | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ivanka Trump Ivanka Trump | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Jared Kushner Jared Kushner | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
JD Vance JD Vance | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Joe Kent Joe Kent | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Josh Hawley Josh Hawley | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kristi Noem Kristi Noem | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Lauren Boebert Lauren Boebert | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Liz Cheney Liz Cheney | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Marco Rubio Marco Rubio | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Marjorie Taylor Greene Marjorie Taylor Greene | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Megyn Kelly Megyn Kelly | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mike Braun Mike Braun | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Mike Pence Mike Pence | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Nikki Haley Nikki Haley | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Pete Hegseth Pete Hegseth | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Rand Paul Rand Paul | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Sarah Huckabee Sanders Sarah Huckabee Sanders | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Scott Bessent Scott Bessent | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Steve Bannon Steve Bannon | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ted Cruz Ted Cruz | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Thomas Massie Thomas Massie | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tom Cotton Tom Cotton | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Trump yes | 0.099 | — | $29.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Trump no | 0.901 | — | $29.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tucker Carlson Tucker Carlson | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tulsi Gabbard Tulsi Gabbard | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Futuur
curacao
|
JD Vance Yes | 0.500 | — | $2.1k | —1 | futuur | |
|
Futuur
curacao
|
NOT JD Vance No | 0.500 | — | $2.1k | —1 | futuur | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Vivek Ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy | — | — | $53.1k | $36.8k | betfair | |
|
Futuur
curacao
|
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? | 0.460 | — | $2.1k | —1 | futuur |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2028 United States presidential election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- trump Trump
- other Other
- vance JD Vance
§ Linked markets
USA - Presidential Election 2028 · Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
proposal #6580: chain from discovery proposal #6459: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.246060320
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $53.1k
- Status
- Active
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
proposal #6650: expansion: detected entity "JD Vance" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 222362
- Matched
- 53d ago
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Status
- Active
Will a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
proposal #6581: title_jaccard=0.57 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXTRUMPPRES-28
- Matched
- 35d ago
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Status
- Active