Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №003 · Last revised 2026-05-03
Open

US Elections

2028 Republican presidential nominee

2028_republican_nominee resolves 2028-07-15

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
rnc_convention
Canonical outcomes
8
Linked markets
22 · 7 venues

Person formally nominated as the Republican presidential candidate at the 2028 RNC.

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Crypto.com us
Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis 0.150 — —1 —1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
↳ yes 0.044 — $2.44M —1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
↳ Ron DeSantis 0.030 — $8.3k —1 limitless
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.029 — $14.24M $273.0k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.035 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Ron DeSantis no 0.956 — $2.44M —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.972 — $14.24M $273.0k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.965 — —1 —1 predictit
Crypto.com us
Nikki Haley Nikki Haley 0.070 — —1 —1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
↳ yes 0.0055 — $1.73M —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.0085 — $9.95M $1.21M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Nikki Haley no 0.995 — $1.73M —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.992 — $9.95M $1.21M polymarket
Kalshi us
Kristi Noem yes 0.0015 — $597.4k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.0065 — $34.52M $1.80M polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.010 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Kristi Noem no 0.999 — $597.4k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.994 — $34.52M $1.80M polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.990 — —1 —1 predictit
Crypto.com us
Other / No candidate named Marco Rubio 0.114 — —1 —1 crypto_com
Limitless Exchange
↳ Marco Rubio 0.081 — $33.0k —1 limitless
Crypto.com us
Vivek Ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy 0.070 — —1 —1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
↳ yes 0.0045 — $1.17M —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.013 — $15.68M $1.13M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Vivek Ramaswamy no 0.996 — $1.17M —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.988 — $15.68M $1.13M polymarket
Kalshi us
Donald Trump Jr. yes 0.044 — $2.11M —1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
↳ Donald Trump Jr. 0.026 — $8.3k —1 limitless
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.025 — $8.89M $502.4k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.045 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Donald Trump Jr. no 0.956 — $2.11M —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.976 — $8.89M $502.4k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.955 — —1 —1 predictit
Crypto.com us
JD Vance JD Vance 0.390 — —1 —1 crypto_com
Futuur curacao
↳ Yes 0.500 — $2.1k —1 insufficient data futuur
Kalshi us
↳ yes 0.415 — $3.17M —1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
↳ J.D. Vance 0.376 — $8.3k —1 limitless
Manifold Markets us
↳ yes 0.392 — $709 $100 manifold
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.375 — —1 —1 predictit
Futuur curacao
NOT JD Vance No 0.500 — $2.1k —1 insufficient data futuur
Kalshi us
↳ no 0.585 — $3.17M —1 kalshi
Manifold Markets us
↳ no 0.608 — $709 $100 manifold
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.625 — —1 —1 predictit
Futuur curacao
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 0.460 — $2.1k —1 futuur
Crypto.com us
Glenn Youngkin Glenn Youngkin 0.070 — —1 —1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
↳ yes 0.0070 — $916.0k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.013 — $8.08M $407.5k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.025 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Glenn Youngkin no 0.993 — $916.0k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.987 — $8.08M $407.5k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.975 — —1 —1 predictit

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

  • Donald Trump Jr. +70bps
    limitless YES 0.031 · kalshi NO 0.955 130 bps gross · 60 bps fees · 4m ago
  • JD Vance +280bps
    limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.580 340 bps gross · 60 bps fees · 4m ago

§ Spread history

  1. 4m ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  2. 4m ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  3. 14m ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  4. 14m ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  5. 24m ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  6. 24m ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  7. 34m ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  8. 34m ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  9. 44m ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  10. 44m ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  11. 56m ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  12. 56m ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  13. 1h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  14. 1h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  15. 1h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  16. 1h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  17. 2h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  18. 2h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  19. 2h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  20. 2h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  21. 2h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +70bps
  22. 2h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +280bps
  23. 2h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  24. 2h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  25. 2h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  26. 2h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  27. 2h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  28. 2h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  29. 3h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  30. 3h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  31. 3h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  32. 3h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  33. 3h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  34. 3h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  35. 3h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  36. 3h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  37. 3h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  38. 3h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  39. 4h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  40. 4h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  41. 4h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  42. 4h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  43. 4h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  44. 4h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  45. 4h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  46. 4h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  47. 4h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  48. 4h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  49. 5h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  50. 5h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  51. 5h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  52. 5h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  53. 5h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  54. 5h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  55. 5h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  56. 5h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  57. 5h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  58. 5h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  59. 6h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  60. 6h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  61. 6h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  62. 6h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  63. 6h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +60bps
  64. 6h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.376 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  65. 6h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  66. 6h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  67. 6h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  68. 6h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  69. 6h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  70. 6h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  71. 7h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  72. 7h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  73. 7h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  74. 7h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  75. 7h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  76. 7h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  77. 7h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  78. 7h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  79. 7h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  80. 7h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  81. 8h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  82. 8h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  83. 8h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  84. 8h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  85. 8h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  86. 8h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  87. 8h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  88. 8h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  89. 8h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  90. 8h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  91. 8h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  92. 8h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  93. 9h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  94. 9h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  95. 9h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  96. 9h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  97. 9h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  98. 9h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  99. 9h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  100. 9h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  101. 9h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  102. 9h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  103. 10h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  104. 10h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  105. 10h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  106. 10h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  107. 10h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  108. 10h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  109. 10h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  110. 10h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  111. 10h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  112. 10h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  113. 10h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  114. 10h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  115. 11h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  116. 11h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  117. 11h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  118. 11h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  119. 11h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  120. 11h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  121. 11h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  122. 11h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  123. 11h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  124. 11h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  125. 12h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  126. 12h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  127. 12h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  128. 12h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  129. 12h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  130. 12h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  131. 12h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  132. 12h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  133. 12h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  134. 12h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  135. 13h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  136. 13h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  137. 13h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  138. 13h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  139. 13h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  140. 13h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  141. 13h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  142. 13h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  143. 13h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  144. 13h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  145. 13h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  146. 13h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  147. 14h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  148. 14h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  149. 14h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  150. 14h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  151. 14h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  152. 14h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  153. 14h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  154. 14h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  155. 14h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  156. 14h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  157. 15h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  158. 15h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  159. 15h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  160. 15h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  161. 15h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  162. 15h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  163. 15h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  164. 15h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  165. 15h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  166. 15h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  167. 16h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  168. 16h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  169. 16h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  170. 16h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  171. 16h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  172. 16h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  173. 16h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  174. 16h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  175. 16h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.956 mid-based +80bps
  176. 16h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  177. 17h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +90bps
  178. 17h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  179. 17h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +90bps
  180. 17h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  181. 17h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.025 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +90bps
  182. 17h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.377 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +270bps
  183. 17h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +90bps
  184. 17h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  185. 17h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.026 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +90bps
  186. 17h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  187. 18h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  188. 18h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  189. 18h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  190. 18h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  191. 18h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  192. 18h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  193. 18h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  194. 18h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  195. 18h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  196. 18h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  197. 18h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  198. 18h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  199. 19h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  200. 19h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  201. 19h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  202. 19h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  203. 19h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  204. 19h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  205. 19h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  206. 19h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  207. 19h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  208. 19h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  209. 20h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  210. 20h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  211. 20h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  212. 20h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  213. 20h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  214. 20h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  215. 20h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  216. 20h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  217. 20h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  218. 20h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  219. 20h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  220. 20h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  221. 21h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  222. 21h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  223. 21h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  224. 21h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  225. 21h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  226. 21h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  227. 21h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  228. 21h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  229. 21h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  230. 21h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  231. 22h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  232. 22h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  233. 22h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  234. 22h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.379 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +250bps
  235. 22h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  236. 22h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.384 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  237. 22h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  238. 22h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  239. 22h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  240. 22h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  241. 23h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  242. 23h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  243. 23h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  244. 23h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  245. 23h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  246. 23h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  247. 23h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  248. 23h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  249. 23h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  250. 23h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  251. 23h ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  252. 23h ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  253. 1d ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  254. 1d ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  255. 1d ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  256. 1d ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps
  257. 1d ago Donald Trump Jr. limitless YES 0.027 · kalshi NO 0.955 mid-based +70bps
  258. 1d ago JD Vance limitless YES 0.390 · kalshi NO 0.585 mid-based +140bps

Showing most recent 258 observations within your tier's window. Subscribe to see deeper history →

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: Republican ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • vance JD Vance J.D. Vance
  • desantis Ron DeSantis
  • haley Nikki Haley
  • ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy
  • youngkin Glenn Youngkin
  • noem Kristi Noem
  • trump_jr Donald Trump Jr. Don JrTrump Jr
  • other Other / No candidate named