US Elections
2026 US Senate Election - Montana
2026_us_senate_montana resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 2 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Any Other Any Other | 0.270 | — | $4.3k | $320 | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Democrat Democrat | 0.270 | — | $4.3k | $320 | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Independent Yes | 0.228 | — | $2.7k | $2.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Independent No | 0.772 | — | $2.7k | $2.5k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Republican Republican | 0.870 | — | $4.3k | $320 | betfair |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- elections Elections
- independent Independent
- republicans Republicans
- other Other
§ Linked markets
USA 2026 Midterm Elections · Montana Senate Election Winner
proposal #10976: chain from discovery proposal #10892: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.250485045
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Status
- Active
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
proposal #50865: title_jaccard=0.43 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=independent · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mt
- External ID
- 630833
- Matched
- 17d ago
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Status
- Active