US Elections
2026 South Carolina Republican Governor Primary
2026_south_carolina_gop_governor resolves 2026-06-09
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 27 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Alan Wilson yes | 0.847 | — | $682.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.784 | — | $174.3k | $29.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.850 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Alan Wilson no | 0.153 | — | $682.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.216 | — | $174.3k | $29.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.150 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Josh Kimbrell yes | 1.000 | — | $49.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $4.7k | $17.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Josh Kimbrell no | 0.0000 | — | $49.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 1.000 | — | $4.7k | $17.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Nancy Mace yes | 0.990 | — | $415.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $117.7k | $19.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Nancy Mace no | 0.010 | — | $415.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 1.000 | — | $117.7k | $19.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Pamela Evette yes | 0.139 | — | $892.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.194 | — | $326.6k | $38.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.145 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Pamela Evette no | 0.861 | — | $892.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.806 | — | $326.6k | $38.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.855 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Ralph Norman yes | 0.975 | — | $227.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $71.5k | $17.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Ralph Norman no | 0.025 | — | $227.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 1.000 | — | $71.5k | $17.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Probability-sum arbs
For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.
-
polymarketSum of YES = $2.010 across 8 candidates — excess 101¢10100 bps
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- alan_wilson Alan Wilson
- josh_kimbrell Josh Kimbrell
- nancy_mace Nancy Mace
- pamela_evette Pamela Evette
- ralph_norman Ralph Norman
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Pamela Evette be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
proposal #31753: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXGOVSCNOMR-26-PEVE
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $888.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Nancy Mace qualify for the runoff in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary?
proposal #252472: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=nancy_mace · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXSCRGOVADVANCE-26JUN09-NMAC
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Alan Wilson qualify for the runoff in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary?
proposal #252471: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=alan_wilson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXSCRGOVADVANCE-26JUN09-AWIL
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Pamela Evette qualify for the runoff in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary?
proposal #252470: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXSCRGOVADVANCE-26JUN09-PEVE
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Ralph Norman qualify for the runoff in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary?
proposal #252271: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ralph_norman · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXSCRGOVADVANCE-26JUN09-RNOR
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Josh Kimbrell be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
proposal #31747: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=josh_kimbrell · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXGOVSCNOMR-26-JKIM
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $49.0k
- Status
- Inactive · Closed
Will Nancy Mace be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
proposal #31750: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=nancy_mace · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXGOVSCNOMR-26-NMAC
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $411.4k
- Status
- Inactive · Closed
Will Ralph Norman be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
proposal #31751: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=ralph_norman · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXGOVSCNOMR-26-RNOR
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $222.0k
- Status
- Inactive · Closed
Will Alan Wilson be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
proposal #31752: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=alan_wilson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- KXGOVSCNOMR-26-AWIL
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $675.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?
proposal #260443: title_jaccard=0.45 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=alan_wilson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471635
- Matched
- 8d ago
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #47246: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=alan_wilson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 906949
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $159.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #47373: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 906945
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $306.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #48900: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=nancy_mace · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 906947
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $117.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #51200: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ralph_norman · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 906948
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $71.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Josh Kimbrell win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #51241: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=josh_kimbrell · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 906946
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 5%?
proposal #252259: title_jaccard=0.45 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=alan_wilson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471634
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Nancy Mace win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary?
proposal #252418: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=nancy_mace · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471636
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by 5–10%?
proposal #252417: title_jaccard=0.45 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471632
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #252419: title_jaccard=0.55 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=alan_wilson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471771
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #259231: title_jaccard=0.55 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471770
- Matched
- 8d ago
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?
proposal #260423: title_jaccard=0.45 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471633
- Matched
- 8d ago
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 10%?
proposal #252416: title_jaccard=0.42 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- 2471631
- Matched
- 9d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican nomination for governor? — Josh Kimbrell
proposal #11242: title_jaccard=0.56 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=josh_kimbrell · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32223
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican nomination for governor? — Pamela Evette
proposal #11239: title_jaccard=0.56 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pamela_evette · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32222
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican nomination for governor? — Alan Wilson
proposal #11238: title_jaccard=0.56 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=alan_wilson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32226
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican nomination for governor? — Ralph Norman
proposal #11241: title_jaccard=0.56 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ralph_norman · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32225
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican nomination for governor? — Nancy Mace
proposal #11240: title_jaccard=0.56 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=nancy_mace · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=sc
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32224
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active