US Elections
2026 US Senate Election — Georgia
2026_senate_georgia resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 7 · 3 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6461: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=1 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,senate,georgia,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Buddy Carter yes | 0.425 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Buddy Carter no | 0.575 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.930 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Christoph La'Flare Chapman Yes | 0.0015 | — | $14.8k | $10.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Christoph La'Flare Chapman No | 0.999 | — | $14.8k | $10.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Democratics yes | 0.675 | — | $1.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Democratics no | 0.325 | — | $1.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Mike Collins Yes | 0.775 | — | $19.3k | $13.5k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.425 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mike Collins No | 0.225 | — | $19.3k | $13.5k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.575 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- elections Elections
- other Other
- democratics Democratics
- mike-collins Mike Collins
- chapman Christoph La'Flare Chapman
- buddy-carter Buddy Carter
§ Linked markets
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia?
proposal #6618: expansion: detected entity "Democratics" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- SENATEGA-28-D
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Buddy Carter finish 2nd in the first round of the Georgia Republican Senate primary?
proposal #7311: expansion: detected entity "Buddy Carter" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEGAR26-2-BCAR
- Matched
- 31m ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
proposal #8195: expansion: detected entity "Mike Collins" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679653
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Christoph La'Flare Chapman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
proposal #8349: expansion: detected entity "Christoph La'Flare Chapman" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679655
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Mike Collins
proposal #8496: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mike-collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32050
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Doug Collins
proposal #8497: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mike-collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32053
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Buddy Carter
proposal #8516: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=buddy-carter · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32047
- Matched
- 1m ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active