Geopolitics
2026 Peruvian Presidential Election
2026_peru_presidential_election resolves 2026-04-12
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 30
- Linked markets
- 12 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
nz
|
no no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 1.000 | — | $9.46M | $4.86M | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
yes yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yes Yes | 0.0005 | — | $9.46M | $4.86M | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- peruvian Peruvian
- alfonso_lopez_chau Alfonso López Chau
- cesar_acuna César Acuña
- enrique_valderrama Enrique Valderrama
- fiorella_molinelli Fiorella Molinelli
- george_forsyth George Forsyth
- jose_luna José Luna
- keiko_fujimori Keiko Fujimori
- mario_vizcarra Mario Vizcarra
- rafael_lopez_aliaga Rafael López Aliaga
- roberto_chiabra Roberto Chiabra
- vladimir_cerron Vladimir Cerrón
- wolfgang_grozo Wolfgang Grozo
- alfredo_barnechea Alfredo Barnechea
- carlos_alvarez Carlos Álvarez
- carlos_espa Carlos Espá
- fernando_olivera Fernando Olivera
- jorge_nieto Jorge Nieto
- jose_williams José Williams
- marisol_perez_tello Marisol Pérez Tello
- mesias_guevara Mesías Guevara
- phillip_butters Phillip Butters
- rafael_belaunde_llosa Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
- ricardo_belmont Ricardo Belmont
- roberto_sanchez Roberto Sánchez
- roberto_sanchez_palomino Roberto Sánchez Palomino
- yonhy_lescano Yonhy Lescano
- other Other
- palomino Roberto Sánchez Palomino
- lescano Yonhy Lescano
§ Linked markets
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9134: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 947288
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $5.78M
- Status
- Active
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9136: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 947273
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $2.32M
- Status
- Active
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9141: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 947282
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $472.6k
- Status
- Active
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9145: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 947276
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $282.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9146: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 947274
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $254.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9149: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 947270
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $207.8k
- Status
- Active
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9151: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 947279
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $144.2k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — Rafael López Aliaga
proposal #9155: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32989
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — Phillip Butters
proposal #9156: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32990
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — Alfonso López Chau
proposal #9159: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32993
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — Wolfgang Grozo
proposal #9167: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_34113
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — Mario Vizcarra
proposal #9168: chain from discovery proposal #8868: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_34114
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active