Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №179 · Last revised 2026-04-30
Open

Geopolitics

2026 Peruvian Presidential Election

2026_peru_presidential_election resolves 2026-04-12

Category
Geopolitics
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
30
Linked markets
4 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #8868: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=38 · venues=2 · candidates=27 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,peruvian,presidential,election]

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
Yonhy Lescano Yes 0.0005 $26.9k $11.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Yonhy Lescano No 1.000 $26.9k $11.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Roberto Sánchez Palomino Yes 0.0005 $20.7k $5.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Roberto Sánchez Palomino No 1.000 $20.7k $5.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Peruvian Yes 0.0005 $58.4k $20.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Peruvian No 1.000 $58.4k $20.9k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • peruvian Peruvian
  • alfonso_lopez_chau Alfonso López Chau
  • cesar_acuna César Acuña
  • enrique_valderrama Enrique Valderrama
  • fiorella_molinelli Fiorella Molinelli
  • george_forsyth George Forsyth
  • jose_luna José Luna
  • keiko_fujimori Keiko Fujimori
  • mario_vizcarra Mario Vizcarra
  • rafael_lopez_aliaga Rafael López Aliaga
  • roberto_chiabra Roberto Chiabra
  • vladimir_cerron Vladimir Cerrón
  • wolfgang_grozo Wolfgang Grozo
  • alfredo_barnechea Alfredo Barnechea
  • carlos_alvarez Carlos Álvarez
  • carlos_espa Carlos Espá
  • fernando_olivera Fernando Olivera
  • jorge_nieto Jorge Nieto
  • jose_williams José Williams
  • marisol_perez_tello Marisol Pérez Tello
  • mesias_guevara Mesías Guevara
  • phillip_butters Phillip Butters
  • rafael_belaunde_llosa Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
  • ricardo_belmont Ricardo Belmont
  • roberto_sanchez Roberto Sánchez
  • roberto_sanchez_palomino Roberto Sánchez Palomino
  • yonhy_lescano Yonhy Lescano
  • other Other
  • palomino Roberto Sánchez Palomino
  • lescano Yonhy Lescano