Geopolitics
2026 Peruvian Presidential Election
2026_peru_presidential_election resolves 2026-04-12
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 30
- Linked markets
- 4 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #8868: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=38 · venues=2 · candidates=27 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,peruvian,presidential,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yonhy Lescano Yes | 0.0005 | — | $26.9k | $11.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Yonhy Lescano No | 1.000 | — | $26.9k | $11.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Roberto Sánchez Palomino Yes | 0.0005 | — | $20.7k | $5.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Roberto Sánchez Palomino No | 1.000 | — | $20.7k | $5.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Peruvian Yes | 0.0005 | — | $58.4k | $20.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Peruvian No | 1.000 | — | $58.4k | $20.9k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- peruvian Peruvian
- alfonso_lopez_chau Alfonso López Chau
- cesar_acuna César Acuña
- enrique_valderrama Enrique Valderrama
- fiorella_molinelli Fiorella Molinelli
- george_forsyth George Forsyth
- jose_luna José Luna
- keiko_fujimori Keiko Fujimori
- mario_vizcarra Mario Vizcarra
- rafael_lopez_aliaga Rafael López Aliaga
- roberto_chiabra Roberto Chiabra
- vladimir_cerron Vladimir Cerrón
- wolfgang_grozo Wolfgang Grozo
- alfredo_barnechea Alfredo Barnechea
- carlos_alvarez Carlos Álvarez
- carlos_espa Carlos Espá
- fernando_olivera Fernando Olivera
- jorge_nieto Jorge Nieto
- jose_williams José Williams
- marisol_perez_tello Marisol Pérez Tello
- mesias_guevara Mesías Guevara
- phillip_butters Phillip Butters
- rafael_belaunde_llosa Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
- ricardo_belmont Ricardo Belmont
- roberto_sanchez Roberto Sánchez
- roberto_sanchez_palomino Roberto Sánchez Palomino
- yonhy_lescano Yonhy Lescano
- other Other
- palomino Roberto Sánchez Palomino
- lescano Yonhy Lescano
§ Linked markets
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?
proposal #9199: expansion: detected entity "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1665871
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Yonhy Lescano finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9211: expansion: detected entity "Yonhy Lescano" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1656654
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $26.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9298: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=peruvian
- External ID
- 1656081
- Matched
- 32m ago
- Volume
- $31.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Yonhy Lescano finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
proposal #9303: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=peruvian
- External ID
- 1656506
- Matched
- 32m ago
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Status
- Active