US Elections
2026 North Carolina Senate Election Winner
2026_north_carolina_senate resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 4 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Democrat Democrat | 0.885 | — | $850 | $210 | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 0.559 | — | $69.5k | $25.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
North yes | 0.505 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT North no | 0.495 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Republican Republican | 0.274 | — | $850 | $210 | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yes Yes | 0.441 | — | $69.5k | $25.9k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2008 North Carolina Senate election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- north North
- democrats Democrats
- elections Elections
- republicans Republicans
- other Other
§ Linked markets
USA 2026 Midterm Elections · North Carolina Senate Election Winner
proposal #11185: chain from discovery proposal #11119: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.250484385
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $850
- Status
- Active
Will Barack Obama endorse Roy Cooper in North Carolina Senate before Nov 3, 2026?
proposal #34012: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=north · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=nc
- External ID
- KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-RCOO
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
proposal #11188: chain from discovery proposal #11119: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 630884
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $40.5k
- Status
- Active
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
proposal #11189: chain from discovery proposal #11119: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 630883
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Status
- Active