Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №075 · Last revised 2026-04-30
Open

Sports

2026 MLS Cup Winner

2026_mls_cup_winner resolves 2026-12-19

Category
Sports
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
27
Linked markets
23 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #2457: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets on same event (2026 MLS Cup) with identical resolution date. Markets ask about specific team winners; together they form a categorical outcome on the overall champion. · cluster=3

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
Atlanta United FC Yes 0.011 $64.9k $33.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Atlanta United FC No 0.990 $64.9k $33.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Austin FC Yes 0.0075 $65.8k $31.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Austin FC No 0.993 $65.8k $31.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
Charlotte FC Yes 0.021 $1.65M $32.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Charlotte FC No 0.980 $1.65M $32.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Chicago Fire FC Yes 0.015 $87.5k $33.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Chicago Fire FC No 0.985 $87.5k $33.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Colorado Rapids Yes 0.0055 $97.5k $28.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Colorado Rapids No 0.995 $97.5k $28.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
Columbus Crew Yes 0.021 $3.02M $40.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Columbus Crew No 0.980 $3.02M $40.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
FC Cincinnati Yes 0.035 $1.53M $34.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT FC Cincinnati No 0.965 $1.53M $34.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
FC Dallas Yes 0.0075 $51.9k $31.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT FC Dallas No 0.993 $51.9k $31.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Houston Dynamo FC Yes 0.015 $300.9k $33.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Houston Dynamo FC No 0.986 $300.9k $33.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
Inter Miami CF Yes 0.155 $15.6k $15.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Inter Miami CF No 0.845 $15.6k $15.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Los Angeles FC Yes 0.115 $21.1k $14.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Los Angeles FC No 0.885 $21.1k $14.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
Minnesota United FC Yes 0.013 $140.8k $31.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Minnesota United FC No 0.987 $140.8k $31.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
New England Revolution Yes 0.0085 $16.2k $28.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT New England Revolution No 0.992 $16.2k $28.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
New York City FC Yes 0.036 $555.0k $31.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT New York City FC No 0.964 $555.0k $31.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
New York Red Bulls Yes 0.016 $237.2k $32.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT New York Red Bulls No 0.984 $237.2k $32.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Philadelphia Union Yes 0.012 $74.6k $31.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Philadelphia Union No 0.988 $74.6k $31.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Portland Timbers Yes 0.0055 $58.4k $37.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Portland Timbers No 0.995 $58.4k $37.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
San Diego FC Yes 0.042 $1.20M $29.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT San Diego FC No 0.959 $1.20M $29.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
San Jose Earthquakes Yes 0.070 $1.06M $31.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT San Jose Earthquakes No 0.930 $1.06M $31.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
Seattle Sounders FC Yes 0.043 $789.7k $27.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Seattle Sounders FC No 0.958 $789.7k $27.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
St Louis City SC Yes 0.0030 $66.4k $32.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT St Louis City SC No 0.997 $66.4k $32.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Toronto FC Yes 0.018 $25.7k $33.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Toronto FC No 0.982 $25.7k $33.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
Vancouver Whitecaps FC Yes 0.102 $358.3k $17.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Vancouver Whitecaps FC No 0.898 $358.3k $17.0k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • real_salt_lake Real Salt Lake
  • nashville_sc Nashville SC
  • orlando_city_sc Orlando City SC
  • other Other team
  • columbus-crew Columbus Crew
  • charlotte-fc Charlotte FC
  • fc-cincinnati FC Cincinnati
  • san-diego-fc San Diego FC
  • san-jose-earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
  • seattle-sounders-fc Seattle Sounders FC
  • new-york-city-fc New York City FC
  • vancouver-whitecaps-fc Vancouver Whitecaps FC
  • houston-dynamo-fc Houston Dynamo FC
  • new-york-red-bulls New York Red Bulls
  • minnesota-united-fc Minnesota United FC
  • colorado-rapids Colorado Rapids
  • chicago-fire-fc Chicago Fire FC
  • philadelphia-union Philadelphia Union
  • st-louis-city-sc St Louis City SC
  • austin-fc Austin FC
  • atlanta-united-fc Atlanta United FC
  • portland-timbers Portland Timbers
  • fc-dallas FC Dallas
  • toronto-fc Toronto FC
  • los-angeles-fc Los Angeles FC
  • new-england-revolution New England Revolution
  • inter-miami-cf Inter Miami CF