Sports
2026 MLB World Series Winner
2026_mlb_world_series_winner resolves 2026-10-31
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 31
- Linked markets
- 30 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6231: llm_two_phase:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · phase-b · matched=18 · venues=1 · candidates=18 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,world,series,winner]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Athletics Yes | 0.0070 | — | $133.5k | $25.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Athletics No | 0.993 | — | $133.5k | $25.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Atlanta Braves Yes | 0.082 | — | $839.3k | $47.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Atlanta Braves No | 0.918 | — | $839.3k | $47.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Baltimore Orioles Yes | 0.025 | — | $1.01M | $37.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Baltimore Orioles No | 0.975 | — | $1.01M | $37.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Boston Red Sox Yes | 0.025 | — | $1.29M | $45.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Boston Red Sox No | 0.976 | — | $1.29M | $45.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Chicago Cubs Yes | 0.042 | — | $897.6k | $47.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chicago Cubs No | 0.959 | — | $897.6k | $47.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Chicago White Sox Yes | 0.0045 | — | $956.8k | $69.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chicago White Sox No | 0.996 | — | $956.8k | $69.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cincinnati Reds Yes | 0.015 | — | $255.8k | $62.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cincinnati Reds No | 0.986 | — | $255.8k | $62.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cleveland Guardians Yes | 0.021 | — | $261.9k | $42.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cleveland Guardians No | 0.980 | — | $261.9k | $42.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Detroit Tigers Yes | 0.036 | — | $826.8k | $37.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Detroit Tigers No | 0.964 | — | $826.8k | $37.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Diamondbacks Yes | 0.0075 | — | $166.7k | $37.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Diamondbacks No | 0.993 | — | $166.7k | $37.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Houston Astros Yes | 0.021 | — | $1.03M | $32.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Houston Astros No | 0.980 | — | $1.03M | $32.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Kansas City Royals Yes | 0.0095 | — | $249.2k | $43.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kansas City Royals No | 0.991 | — | $249.2k | $43.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Los Angeles Angels Yes | 0.0065 | — | $376.0k | $74.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Los Angeles Angels No | 0.994 | — | $376.0k | $74.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Los Angeles Dodgers Yes | 0.295 | — | $111.9k | $42.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Los Angeles Dodgers No | 0.705 | — | $111.9k | $42.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Miami Marlins Yes | 0.0055 | — | $265.0k | $52.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Miami Marlins No | 0.995 | — | $265.0k | $52.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Milwaukee Brewers Yes | 0.024 | — | $1.07M | $46.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Milwaukee Brewers No | 0.977 | — | $1.07M | $46.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Nationals Yes | 0.0045 | — | $937.3k | $75.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Nationals No | 0.996 | — | $937.3k | $75.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
New York Mets Yes | 0.025 | — | $554.5k | $64.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT New York Mets No | 0.975 | — | $554.5k | $64.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
New York Yankees Yes | 0.105 | — | $141.3k | $60.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT New York Yankees No | 0.895 | — | $141.3k | $60.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Philadelphia Phillies Yes | 0.025 | — | $1.06M | $44.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Philadelphia Phillies No | 0.976 | — | $1.06M | $44.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Pittsburgh Pirates Yes | 0.029 | — | $313.5k | $47.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Pittsburgh Pirates No | 0.971 | — | $313.5k | $47.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Rangers Yes | 0.030 | — | $595.2k | $44.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Rangers No | 0.970 | — | $595.2k | $44.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Rockies Yes | 0.0065 | — | $675.9k | $78.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Rockies No | 0.994 | — | $675.9k | $78.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
San Diego Padres Yes | 0.042 | — | $817.7k | $20.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT San Diego Padres No | 0.959 | — | $817.7k | $20.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
San Francisco Giants Yes | 0.0065 | — | $168.4k | $51.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT San Francisco Giants No | 0.994 | — | $168.4k | $51.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Seattle Mariners Yes | 0.057 | — | $491.6k | $47.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Seattle Mariners No | 0.944 | — | $491.6k | $47.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
St Louis Cardinals Yes | 0.0045 | — | $884.0k | $83.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT St Louis Cardinals No | 0.996 | — | $884.0k | $83.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Tampa Bay Rays Yes | 0.013 | — | $123.8k | $31.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tampa Bay Rays No | 0.987 | — | $123.8k | $31.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Toronto Blue Jays Yes | 0.033 | — | $157.7k | $36.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Toronto Blue Jays No | 0.968 | — | $157.7k | $36.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Twins Yes | 0.0080 | — | $137.8k | $39.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Twins No | 0.992 | — | $137.8k | $39.7k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- athletics Athletics
- atlanta_braves Atlanta Braves
- baltimore_orioles Baltimore Orioles
- chicago_cubs Chicago Cubs
- cincinnati_reds Cincinnati Reds
- cleveland_guardians Cleveland Guardians
- detroit_tigers Detroit Tigers
- diamondbacks Diamondbacks
- houston_astros Houston Astros
- miami_marlins Miami Marlins
- milwaukee_brewers Milwaukee Brewers
- nationals Nationals
- philadelphia_phillies Philadelphia Phillies
- pittsburgh_pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
- rangers Rangers
- rockies Rockies
- seattle_mariners Seattle Mariners
- twins Twins
- other Other
- boston-red-sox Boston Red Sox
- chicago-white-sox Chicago White Sox
- san-diego-padres San Diego Padres
- st-louis-cardinals St Louis Cardinals
- new-york-mets New York Mets
- los-angeles-angels Los Angeles Angels
- kansas-city-royals Kansas City Royals
- san-francisco-giants San Francisco Giants
- new-york-yankees New York Yankees
- toronto-blue-jays Toronto Blue Jays
- tampa-bay-rays Tampa Bay Rays
- los-angeles-dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
§ Linked markets
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6309: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=athletics
- External ID
- 1235561
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $133.5k
- Status
- Active
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6292: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=milwaukee_brewers
- External ID
- 1235568
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Status
- Active
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6293: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=philadelphia_phillies
- External ID
- 1235564
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Status
- Active
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6294: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=houston_astros
- External ID
- 1235557
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Status
- Active
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6295: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=baltimore_orioles
- External ID
- 1235550
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Status
- Active
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6296: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=chicago_cubs
- External ID
- 1235569
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $897.6k
- Status
- Active
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6297: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=atlanta_braves
- External ID
- 1235562
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $839.3k
- Status
- Active
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6298: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=detroit_tigers
- External ID
- 1235555
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $826.8k
- Status
- Active
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6299: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=nationals
- External ID
- 1235566
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $937.3k
- Status
- Active
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6300: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rockies
- External ID
- 1235576
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $675.9k
- Status
- Active
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6301: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rangers
- External ID
- 1235560
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $595.2k
- Status
- Active
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6302: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=seattle_mariners
- External ID
- 1235558
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $491.6k
- Status
- Active
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6303: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pittsburgh_pirates
- External ID
- 1235571
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $313.5k
- Status
- Active
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6304: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=cleveland_guardians
- External ID
- 1235552
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $261.9k
- Status
- Active
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6305: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=cincinnati_reds
- External ID
- 1235570
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $255.8k
- Status
- Active
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6306: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=miami_marlins
- External ID
- 1235565
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $265.0k
- Status
- Active
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6307: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=diamondbacks
- External ID
- 1235575
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $166.7k
- Status
- Active
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6308: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=twins
- External ID
- 1235554
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $137.8k
- Status
- Active
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6439: expansion: detected entity "Boston Red Sox" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235551
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Status
- Active
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6441: expansion: detected entity "Chicago White Sox" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235553
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $956.8k
- Status
- Active
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6442: expansion: detected entity "San Diego Padres" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235573
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $817.7k
- Status
- Active
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6443: expansion: detected entity "St Louis Cardinals" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235567
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $884.0k
- Status
- Active
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6446: expansion: detected entity "New York Mets" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235563
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $554.5k
- Status
- Active
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6448: expansion: detected entity "Los Angeles Angels" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235559
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $376.0k
- Status
- Active
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6452: expansion: detected entity "Kansas City Royals" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235556
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $249.2k
- Status
- Active
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6453: expansion: detected entity "San Francisco Giants" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235574
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $168.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6455: expansion: detected entity "New York Yankees" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235547
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $141.3k
- Status
- Active
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6457: expansion: detected entity "Toronto Blue Jays" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235548
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $157.7k
- Status
- Active
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6913: expansion: detected entity "Tampa Bay Rays" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235549
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $123.8k
- Status
- Active
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #7434: expansion: detected entity "Los Angeles Dodgers" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235572
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $111.9k
- Status
- Active