Sports
2026 MLB World Series Winner
2026_mlb_world_series_winner resolves 2026-10-31
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 31
- Linked markets
- 23 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Athletics Athletics | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Athletics | 0.028 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $203.0k | $66.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Athletics No | 0.993 | — | $203.0k | $66.5k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Atlanta Braves | 0.044 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.101 | — | $927.3k | $63.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Atlanta Braves No | 0.899 | — | $927.3k | $63.0k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Baltimore Orioles | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0085 | — | $1.46M | $87.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Baltimore Orioles No | 0.992 | — | $1.46M | $87.6k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Boston Red Sox | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $1.60M | $55.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Boston Red Sox No | 0.993 | — | $1.60M | $55.1k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Chicago Cubs | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Chicago White Sox | 0.021 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.015 | — | $2.44M | $30.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chicago White Sox No | 0.986 | — | $2.44M | $30.4k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Cincinnati Reds | 0.020 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $625.7k | $65.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cincinnati Reds No | 0.993 | — | $625.7k | $65.6k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Cleveland Guardians | 0.030 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Detroit Tigers | 0.028 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.029 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Houston Astros Houston Astros | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Houston Astros | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0085 | — | $1.39M | $84.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Houston Astros No | 0.992 | — | $1.39M | $84.9k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Kansas City Royals | 0.021 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $649.4k | $93.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kansas City Royals No | 0.994 | — | $649.4k | $93.4k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Los Angeles Angels | 0.011 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $1.44M | $150.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Los Angeles Angels No | 0.994 | — | $1.44M | $150.2k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.150 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.285 | — | $195.4k | $39.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Los Angeles Dodgers No | 0.715 | — | $195.4k | $39.5k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Miami Marlins | 0.011 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0055 | — | $1.65M | $124.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Miami Marlins No | 0.995 | — | $1.65M | $124.4k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Milwaukee Brewers | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.057 | — | $1.16M | $79.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Milwaukee Brewers No | 0.943 | — | $1.16M | $79.7k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Nationals Washington Nationals | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Washington Nationals | 0.021 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
New York Mets New York Mets | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ New York Mets | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.017 | — | $880.2k | $27.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT New York Mets No | 0.983 | — | $880.2k | $27.7k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
New York Yankees New York Yankees | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ New York Yankees | 0.063 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.145 | — | $236.4k | $47.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT New York Yankees No | 0.855 | — | $236.4k | $47.2k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Philadelphia Phillies | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.046 | — | $1.21M | $35.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Philadelphia Phillies No | 0.954 | — | $1.21M | $35.8k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.028 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0090 | — | $554.4k | $96.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Pittsburgh Pirates No | 0.991 | — | $554.4k | $96.6k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Rangers Texas Rangers | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Texas Rangers | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Rockies Colorado Rockies | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Colorado Rockies | 0.010 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ San Diego Padres | 0.034 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.018 | — | $1.06M | $35.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT San Diego Padres No | 0.982 | — | $1.06M | $35.6k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ San Francisco Giants | 0.020 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0045 | — | $1.40M | $79.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT San Francisco Giants No | 0.996 | — | $1.40M | $79.6k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Seattle Mariners | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
St Louis Cardinals St Louis Cardinals | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ St. Louis Cardinals | 0.032 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.011 | — | $2.09M | $58.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT St Louis Cardinals No | 0.989 | — | $2.09M | $58.0k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Tampa Bay Rays | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.035 | — | $210.9k | $43.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tampa Bay Rays No | 0.965 | — | $210.9k | $43.3k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Toronto Blue Jays | 0.033 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.025 | — | $296.1k | $45.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Toronto Blue Jays No | 0.975 | — | $296.1k | $45.6k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Twins Minnesota Twins | — | — | $19.0k | $4.9k | betfair | |
|
Metaculus
us
|
↳ Minnesota Twins | 0.029 | — | $156 | —1 | metaculus |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: World Series Winners ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- athletics Athletics
- atlanta_braves Atlanta Braves
- baltimore_orioles Baltimore Orioles
- chicago_cubs Chicago Cubs
- cincinnati_reds Cincinnati Reds
- cleveland_guardians Cleveland Guardians
- detroit_tigers Detroit Tigers
- diamondbacks Diamondbacks
- houston_astros Houston Astros
- miami_marlins Miami Marlins
- milwaukee_brewers Milwaukee Brewers
- nationals Nationals
- philadelphia_phillies Philadelphia Phillies
- pittsburgh_pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
- rangers Rangers
- rockies Rockies
- seattle_mariners Seattle Mariners
- twins Twins
- other Other
- boston-red-sox Boston Red Sox
- chicago-white-sox Chicago White Sox
- san-diego-padres San Diego Padres
- st-louis-cardinals St Louis Cardinals
- new-york-mets New York Mets
- los-angeles-angels Los Angeles Angels
- kansas-city-royals Kansas City Royals
- san-francisco-giants San Francisco Giants
- new-york-yankees New York Yankees
- toronto-blue-jays Toronto Blue Jays
- tampa-bay-rays Tampa Bay Rays
- los-angeles-dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
§ Linked markets
Major League Baseball · World Series 2026 Winner
proposal #18245: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=0.87 · category=sports · year_overlap
- External ID
- 1.253992280
- Matched
- 27d ago
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Status
- Active
Which team will win the 2026 MLB World Series?
proposal #157740: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.98 · category=sports · year_overlap
- External ID
- 42727
- Matched
- 19d ago
- Volume
- $156
- Status
- Active
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6293: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=philadelphia_phillies
- External ID
- 1235564
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.21M
- Status
- Active
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6294: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=houston_astros
- External ID
- 1235557
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.39M
- Status
- Active
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6295: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=baltimore_orioles
- External ID
- 1235550
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.46M
- Status
- Active
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6297: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=atlanta_braves
- External ID
- 1235562
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $927.3k
- Status
- Active
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6303: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pittsburgh_pirates
- External ID
- 1235571
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $554.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6305: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=cincinnati_reds
- External ID
- 1235570
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $625.7k
- Status
- Active
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6306: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=miami_marlins
- External ID
- 1235565
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.65M
- Status
- Active
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6439: expansion: detected entity "Boston Red Sox" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235551
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Status
- Active
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6441: expansion: detected entity "Chicago White Sox" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235553
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $2.44M
- Status
- Active
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6309: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=athletics
- External ID
- 1235561
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $203.0k
- Status
- Active
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6443: expansion: detected entity "St Louis Cardinals" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235567
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $2.09M
- Status
- Active
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6446: expansion: detected entity "New York Mets" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235563
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $880.2k
- Status
- Active
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6448: expansion: detected entity "Los Angeles Angels" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235559
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.44M
- Status
- Active
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6452: expansion: detected entity "Kansas City Royals" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235556
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $649.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6453: expansion: detected entity "San Francisco Giants" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235574
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Status
- Active
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6455: expansion: detected entity "New York Yankees" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235547
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $236.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6457: expansion: detected entity "Toronto Blue Jays" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235548
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $296.1k
- Status
- Active
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6913: expansion: detected entity "Tampa Bay Rays" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235549
- Matched
- 51d ago
- Volume
- $210.9k
- Status
- Active
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #7434: expansion: detected entity "Los Angeles Dodgers" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235572
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $195.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6442: expansion: detected entity "San Diego Padres" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1235573
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Status
- Active
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
proposal #6292: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=milwaukee_brewers
- External ID
- 1235568
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Status
- Active