US Elections
2026 Michigan Republican Gubernatorial Nomination
2026_michigan_governor_gop_primary resolves 2026-08-04
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 5 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #11122: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=6 · venues=1 · candidates=5 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,michigan,republican,governor,nomination]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
us
|
Aric Nesbitt yes | 0.040 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Aric Nesbitt no | 0.960 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
John James yes | 0.450 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT John James no | 0.550 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Mike Cox yes | 0.035 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Mike Cox no | 0.965 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Perry Johnson yes | 0.365 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Perry Johnson no | 0.635 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Tom Leonard yes | 0.015 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Tom Leonard no | 0.985 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- aric_nesbitt Aric Nesbitt
- john_james John James
- mike_cox Mike Cox
- perry_johnson Perry Johnson
- tom_leonard Tom Leonard
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Republican nomination for governor? — Perry Johnson
proposal #11194: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=perry_johnson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33627
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Republican nomination for governor? — John James
proposal #11195: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=john_james · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32135
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Republican nomination for governor? — Aric Nesbitt
proposal #11196: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=aric_nesbitt · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32137
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Republican nomination for governor? — Mike Cox
proposal #11197: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mike_cox · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32134
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Republican nomination for governor? — Tom Leonard
proposal #11198: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=tom_leonard · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32136
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active