Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №023 · Last revised 2026-04-30
Open

Sports

2026 Men's French Open Winner

2026_mens_french_open_winner resolves 2026-06-07

Category
Sports
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
42
Linked markets
40 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #891: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets on the same tournament with identical resolution date. Each asks about a specific player winning, forming a coherent categorical event with 'other' for remaining candidates. · cluster=3

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Yes 0.0025 $137.9k $55.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Alejandro Davidovich Fokina No 0.998 $137.9k $55.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Alejandro Tabilo Yes 0.0025 $83.2k $52.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Alejandro Tabilo No 0.998 $83.2k $52.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Alex De Minaur Yes 0.0030 $123.5k $62.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Alex De Minaur No 0.997 $123.5k $62.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
Alex Michelsen Yes 0.0015 $94.3k $54.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Alex Michelsen No 0.999 $94.3k $54.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Alexander Zverev Yes 0.075 $439.0k $39.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Alexander Zverev No 0.925 $439.0k $39.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Alexander Bublik Yes 0.0025 $119.1k $31.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Alexander Bublik No 0.998 $119.1k $31.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
Alexei Popyrin Yes 0.0015 $155.5k $78.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Alexei Popyrin No 0.999 $155.5k $78.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Andrey Rublev Yes 0.0025 $219.7k $55.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Andrey Rublev No 0.998 $219.7k $55.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Arthur Fils Yes 0.042 $352.9k $51.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Arthur Fils No 0.959 $352.9k $51.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
Ben Shelton Yes 0.0055 $342.8k $57.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Ben Shelton No 0.995 $342.8k $57.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Cameron Norrie Yes 0.0015 $100.5k $67.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Cameron Norrie No 0.999 $100.5k $67.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
Carlos Alcaraz Yes 0.0060 $444.4k $81.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Carlos Alcaraz No 0.994 $444.4k $81.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Casper Ruud Yes 0.020 $205.4k $69.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Casper Ruud No 0.980 $205.4k $69.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
Daniil Medvedev Yes 0.0065 $235.4k $63.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Daniil Medvedev No 0.994 $235.4k $63.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Denis Shapovalov Yes 0.0015 $94.5k $64.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Denis Shapovalov No 0.999 $94.5k $64.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Felix Auger Aliassime Yes 0.0050 $138.9k $38.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Felix Auger Aliassime No 0.995 $138.9k $38.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Flavio Cobolli Yes 0.0075 $160.5k $19.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Flavio Cobolli No 0.993 $160.5k $19.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Frances Tiafoe Yes 0.0015 $122.0k $47.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Frances Tiafoe No 0.999 $122.0k $47.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
Francisco Cerundolo Yes 0.0055 $136.3k $42.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Francisco Cerundolo No 0.995 $136.3k $42.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Grigor Dimitrov Yes 0.0015 $111.4k $78.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Grigor Dimitrov No 0.999 $111.4k $78.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
Hubert Hurkacz Yes 0.0015 $81.1k $67.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Hubert Hurkacz No 0.999 $81.1k $67.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
Jack Draper Yes 0.0025 $250.0k $88.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Jack Draper No 0.998 $250.0k $88.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
Jakub Mensik Yes 0.0035 $125.0k $44.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Jakub Mensik No 0.997 $125.0k $44.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
Jan-Lennard Struff Yes 0.0015 $120.2k $62.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Jan-Lennard Struff No 0.999 $120.2k $62.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
Jannik Sinner Yes 0.665 $382.5k $55.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Jannik Sinner No 0.335 $382.5k $55.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Jiri Lehecka Yes 0.0045 $160.4k $51.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Jiri Lehecka No 0.996 $160.4k $51.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Karen Khachanov Yes 0.0025 $88.9k $54.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Karen Khachanov No 0.998 $88.9k $54.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
Learner Tien Yes 0.0025 $222.5k $39.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Learner Tien No 0.998 $222.5k $39.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Lorenzo Musetti Yes 0.028 $8.05M $95.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Lorenzo Musetti No 0.973 $8.05M $95.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
Marin Cilic Yes 0.0015 $75.2k $73.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Marin Cilic No 0.999 $75.2k $73.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
Matteo Berrettini Yes 0.0015 $92.2k $63.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Matteo Berrettini No 0.999 $92.2k $63.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
Rafael Jodar Yes 0.024 $74.1k $7.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Rafael Jodar No 0.977 $74.1k $7.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Reilly Opelka Yes 0.0015 $106.1k $66.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Reilly Opelka No 0.999 $106.1k $66.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Sebastian Korda Yes 0.0015 $162.8k $61.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Sebastian Korda No 0.999 $162.8k $61.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Stefanos Tsitsipas Yes 0.0045 $208.1k $47.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Stefanos Tsitsipas No 0.996 $208.1k $47.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
Taylor Fritz Yes 0.0025 $155.7k $57.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Taylor Fritz No 0.998 $155.7k $57.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Tomas Machac Yes 0.0015 $80.9k $70.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Tomas Machac No 0.999 $80.9k $70.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
Tommy Paul Yes 0.0020 $100.9k $53.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Tommy Paul No 0.998 $100.9k $53.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
Ugo Humbert Yes 0.0015 $113.9k $56.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Ugo Humbert No 0.999 $113.9k $56.4k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • joao_fonseca Joao Fonseca
  • alexander_zverev Alexander Zverev
  • novak_djokovic Novak Djokovic
  • other Other
  • lorenzo-musetti Lorenzo Musetti
  • carlos-alcaraz Carlos Alcaraz
  • ben-shelton Ben Shelton
  • jannik-sinner Jannik Sinner
  • arthur-fils Arthur Fils
  • daniil-medvedev Daniil Medvedev
  • jack-draper Jack Draper
  • andrey-rublev Andrey Rublev
  • learner-tien Learner Tien
  • casper-ruud Casper Ruud
  • stefanos-tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas
  • flavio-cobolli Flavio Cobolli
  • alejandro-davidovich-fokina Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
  • sebastian-korda Sebastian Korda
  • alexei-popyrin Alexei Popyrin
  • felix-auger-aliassime Felix Auger Aliassime
  • jiri-lehecka Jiri Lehecka
  • taylor-fritz Taylor Fritz
  • francisco-cerundolo Francisco Cerundolo
  • alex-de-minaur Alex De Minaur
  • jakub-mensik Jakub Mensik
  • frances-tiafoe Frances Tiafoe
  • alexander-bublik Alexander Bublik
  • jan-lennard-struff Jan-Lennard Struff
  • ugo-humbert Ugo Humbert
  • grigor-dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov
  • reilly-opelka Reilly Opelka
  • tommy-paul Tommy Paul
  • cameron-norrie Cameron Norrie
  • denis-shapovalov Denis Shapovalov
  • matteo-berrettini Matteo Berrettini
  • alex-michelsen Alex Michelsen
  • karen-khachanov Karen Khachanov
  • alejandro-tabilo Alejandro Tabilo
  • hubert-hurkacz Hubert Hurkacz
  • tomas-machac Tomas Machac
  • marin-cilic Marin Cilic
  • rafael-jodar Rafael Jodar