US Elections
2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Nomination
2026_massachusetts_democratic_senate_primary resolves 2026-09-01
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 3 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #10585: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=4 · venues=1 · candidates=3 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,massachusetts,democratic,senate]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
us
|
Ayanna Pressley yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Ayanna Pressley no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Ed Markey yes | 0.800 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Ed Markey no | 0.200 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Seth Moulton yes | 0.160 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Seth Moulton no | 0.840 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- ayanna_pressley Ayanna Pressley
- ed_markey Ed Markey
- seth_moulton Seth Moulton
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Who will win the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate nomination? — Ed Markey
proposal #10593: title_jaccard=0.71 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ed_markey · party_office_match=dem,senate · us_state_match=ma
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32909
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate nomination? — Seth Moulton
proposal #10594: title_jaccard=0.71 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=seth_moulton · party_office_match=dem,senate · us_state_match=ma
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32910
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate nomination? — Ayanna Pressley
proposal #10595: title_jaccard=0.71 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ayanna_pressley · party_office_match=dem,senate · us_state_match=ma
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32911
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active