US Elections
2026 Maine Republican Governor Primary
2026_maine_republican_governor_primary resolves 2026-06-09
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 8
- Linked markets
- 7 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #11368: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=7 · venues=1 · candidates=7 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,maine,republican,governor]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
us
|
Bruce Poliquin yes | 0.065 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Bruce Poliquin no | 0.935 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Garrett Mason yes | 0.085 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Garrett Mason no | 0.915 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Jonathan Bush yes | 0.210 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Jonathan Bush no | 0.790 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Laurel Libby yes | 0.040 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Laurel Libby no | 0.960 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Rick Bennett yes | 0.080 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Rick Bennett no | 0.920 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Robert Charles yes | 0.560 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Robert Charles no | 0.440 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Shawn Moody yes | 0.120 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Shawn Moody no | 0.880 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- bruce_poliquin Bruce Poliquin
- garrett_mason Garrett Mason
- jonathan_bush Jonathan Bush
- laurel_libby Laurel Libby
- rick_bennett Rick Bennett
- robert_charles Robert Charles
- shawn_moody Shawn Moody
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican nomination for governor? — Robert Charles
proposal #11383: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=robert_charles · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32140
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican nomination for governor? — Jonathan Bush
proposal #11384: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=jonathan_bush · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32139
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican nomination for governor? — Garrett Mason
proposal #11385: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=garrett_mason · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32142
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican nomination for governor? — Shawn Moody
proposal #11386: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=shawn_moody · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32143
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican nomination for governor? — Bruce Poliquin
proposal #11387: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=bruce_poliquin · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32144
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican nomination for governor? — Rick Bennett
proposal #11388: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rick_bennett · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32138
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican nomination for governor? — Laurel Libby
proposal #11389: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=laurel_libby · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32141
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active