Open
US Elections
2026 Iowa Governor Election Winner by Party
2026_iowa_governor_party resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6312: llm_two_phase:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=1 · joke_filtered=4 · signature=[2026,iowa,governor,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Rob Sand Yes | 0.976 | — | $369.7k | $16.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Rob Sand No | 0.025 | — | $369.7k | $16.7k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- rob_sand Rob Sand
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #6431: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rob_sand · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=ia
- External ID
- 904352
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $369.7k
- Status
- Active