2026 Grossing Movie Top
2026_grossing_movie_top resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- —
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 18
- Linked markets
- 11 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Avengers Doomsday Yes | 0.115 | — | $411.7k | $48.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Avengers Doomsday No | 0.885 | — | $411.7k | $48.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Dune Messiah Yes | 0.0055 | — | $410.7k | $95.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Dune Messiah No | 0.995 | — | $410.7k | $95.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jumanji Yes | 0.0055 | — | $566.7k | $91.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jumanji No | 0.995 | — | $566.7k | $91.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Michael Yes | 0.0045 | — | $926.0k | $106.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Michael No | 0.996 | — | $926.0k | $106.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 0.995 | — | $1.72M | $127.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Odyssey Yes | 0.018 | — | $493.5k | $56.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Odyssey No | 0.983 | — | $493.5k | $56.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Project Hail Mary Yes | 0.0035 | — | $1.10M | $131.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Project Hail Mary No | 0.997 | — | $1.10M | $131.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Scream Yes | 0.0055 | — | $2.00M | $150.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Scream No | 0.995 | — | $2.00M | $150.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Spider-Man Brand New Day Yes | 0.590 | — | $329.5k | $38.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Spider-Man Brand New Day No | 0.410 | — | $329.5k | $38.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Toy Story Yes | 0.206 | — | $350.6k | $44.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Toy Story No | 0.793 | — | $350.6k | $44.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Wuthering Heights Yes | 0.0055 | — | $1.87M | $154.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Wuthering Heights No | 0.995 | — | $1.87M | $154.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yes Yes | 0.0055 | — | $1.72M | $127.7k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: List of highest-grossing films ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- michael Michael
- wicked Wicked
- good Good
- wuthering-heights Wuthering Heights
- odyssey Odyssey
- dune-messiah Dune Messiah
- scream Scream
- hunger-games-sunrise Hunger Games Sunrise
- reaping Reaping
- project-hail-mary Project Hail Mary
- avengers-doomsday Avengers Doomsday
- toy-story Toy Story
- spider-man-brand-new-day Spider-Man Brand New Day
- star-wars Star Wars
- mandalorian Mandalorian
- grogu Grogu
- jumanji Jumanji
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4833: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=michael
- External ID
- 678410
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $926.0k
- Status
- Active
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4836: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=odyssey
- External ID
- 678413
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $493.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4838: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=scream
- External ID
- 678409
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $2.00M
- Status
- Active
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4845: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=jumanji
- External ID
- 678420
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $566.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4835: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=wuthering-heights
- External ID
- 678408
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.87M
- Status
- Active
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4837: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=dune-messiah
- External ID
- 678417
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $410.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4841: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=avengers-doomsday
- External ID
- 678416
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $411.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4842: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=toy-story
- External ID
- 678412
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $350.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4840: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=project-hail-mary
- External ID
- 678418
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Status
- Active
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4843: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=spider-man-brand-new-day
- External ID
- 678414
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $329.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4834: chain from discovery proposal #4460: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 678407
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Status
- Active