2026 Grossing Movie Top
2026_grossing_movie_top resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- —
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 18
- Linked markets
- 10 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #4460: discovery: cluster of 13 markets · shared=[grossing,movie,top] · year=2026
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Avengers Doomsday Yes | 0.195 | — | $236.8k | $24.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Avengers Doomsday No | 0.805 | — | $236.8k | $24.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Dune Messiah Yes | 0.0065 | — | $319.9k | $57.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Dune Messiah No | 0.994 | — | $319.9k | $57.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jumanji Yes | 0.0035 | — | $135.9k | $65.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jumanji No | 0.997 | — | $135.9k | $65.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Michael Yes | 0.015 | — | $715.3k | $59.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Michael No | 0.985 | — | $715.3k | $59.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Odyssey Yes | 0.019 | — | $381.4k | $54.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Odyssey No | 0.981 | — | $381.4k | $54.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Project Hail Mary Yes | 0.0035 | — | $302.3k | $57.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Project Hail Mary No | 0.997 | — | $302.3k | $57.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Scream Yes | 0.0025 | — | $371.5k | $112.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Scream No | 0.998 | — | $371.5k | $112.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Spider-Man Brand New Day Yes | 0.655 | — | $197.5k | $34.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Spider-Man Brand New Day No | 0.345 | — | $197.5k | $34.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Toy Story Yes | 0.025 | — | $199.8k | $54.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Toy Story No | 0.975 | — | $199.8k | $54.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Wuthering Heights Yes | 0.0035 | — | $563.1k | $74.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Wuthering Heights No | 0.997 | — | $563.1k | $74.3k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- michael Michael
- wicked Wicked
- good Good
- wuthering-heights Wuthering Heights
- odyssey Odyssey
- dune-messiah Dune Messiah
- scream Scream
- hunger-games-sunrise Hunger Games Sunrise
- reaping Reaping
- project-hail-mary Project Hail Mary
- avengers-doomsday Avengers Doomsday
- toy-story Toy Story
- spider-man-brand-new-day Spider-Man Brand New Day
- star-wars Star Wars
- mandalorian Mandalorian
- grogu Grogu
- jumanji Jumanji
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4833: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=michael
- External ID
- 678410
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $715.3k
- Status
- Active
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4836: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=odyssey
- External ID
- 678413
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $381.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4838: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=scream
- External ID
- 678409
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $371.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4845: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=jumanji
- External ID
- 678420
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $135.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4835: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=wuthering-heights
- External ID
- 678408
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $563.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4837: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=dune-messiah
- External ID
- 678417
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $319.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4841: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=avengers-doomsday
- External ID
- 678416
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $236.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4842: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=toy-story
- External ID
- 678412
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $199.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4840: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=project-hail-mary
- External ID
- 678418
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $302.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
proposal #4843: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=spider-man-brand-new-day
- External ID
- 678414
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $197.5k
- Status
- Active