Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №104 · Last revised 2026-04-28
Open

2026 Grossing Movie Top

2026_grossing_movie_top resolves 2026-12-31

Category
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
18
Linked markets
10 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #4460: discovery: cluster of 13 markets · shared=[grossing,movie,top] · year=2026

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
Avengers Doomsday Yes 0.195 $236.8k $24.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Avengers Doomsday No 0.805 $236.8k $24.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
Dune Messiah Yes 0.0065 $319.9k $57.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Dune Messiah No 0.994 $319.9k $57.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
Jumanji Yes 0.0035 $135.9k $65.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Jumanji No 0.997 $135.9k $65.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
Michael Yes 0.015 $715.3k $59.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Michael No 0.985 $715.3k $59.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Odyssey Yes 0.019 $381.4k $54.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Odyssey No 0.981 $381.4k $54.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
Project Hail Mary Yes 0.0035 $302.3k $57.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Project Hail Mary No 0.997 $302.3k $57.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
Scream Yes 0.0025 $371.5k $112.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Scream No 0.998 $371.5k $112.5k polymarket
Polymarket us
Spider-Man Brand New Day Yes 0.655 $197.5k $34.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Spider-Man Brand New Day No 0.345 $197.5k $34.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
Toy Story Yes 0.025 $199.8k $54.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Toy Story No 0.975 $199.8k $54.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Wuthering Heights Yes 0.0035 $563.1k $74.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Wuthering Heights No 0.997 $563.1k $74.3k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • michael Michael
  • wicked Wicked
  • good Good
  • wuthering-heights Wuthering Heights
  • odyssey Odyssey
  • dune-messiah Dune Messiah
  • scream Scream
  • hunger-games-sunrise Hunger Games Sunrise
  • reaping Reaping
  • project-hail-mary Project Hail Mary
  • avengers-doomsday Avengers Doomsday
  • toy-story Toy Story
  • spider-man-brand-new-day Spider-Man Brand New Day
  • star-wars Star Wars
  • mandalorian Mandalorian
  • grogu Grogu
  • jumanji Jumanji
  • other Other / No candidate named