US Elections
2026 Georgia Republican Gubernatorial Primary
2026_georgia_republican_governor_primary resolves 2026-05-19
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 19 · 3 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #9692: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=1 · candidates=3 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,georgia,republican,gubernatorial,primary]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Brad Raffensperger yes | 0.080 | — | $120 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.032 | — | $72.0k | $13.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Brad Raffensperger no | 0.920 | — | $120 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.969 | — | $72.0k | $13.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.930 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Burt Jones yes | 0.645 | — | $7 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.305 | — | $132.0k | $11.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.345 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Burt Jones no | 0.355 | — | $7 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.695 | — | $132.0k | $11.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.655 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Chris Carr Yes | 0.0060 | — | $42.6k | $4.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chris Carr No | 0.994 | — | $42.6k | $4.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Gregg Kirkpatrick Yes | 0.0015 | — | $128.4k | $5.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Gregg Kirkpatrick No | 0.999 | — | $128.4k | $5.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Rick Jackson yes | 0.250 | — | $1.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.585 | — | $15.9k | $21.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.575 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Rick Jackson no | 0.750 | — | $1.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.415 | — | $15.9k | $21.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.425 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
-
Rick Jackson +3139bpskalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415
§ Spread history
- 23m ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 53m ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 1h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 2h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 2h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 3h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 3h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 4h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 4h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 5h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 5h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 6h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 7h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 7h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 8h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 8h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 9h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 9h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 10h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 10h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 11h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 11h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 12h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 13h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 14h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 14h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 15h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 16h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 16h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 17h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 18h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 18h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 19h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 19h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 20h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 20h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 21h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 22h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 22h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 23h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 23h ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
- 1d ago Rick Jackson kalshi YES 0.250 · polymarket NO 0.415 mid-based +3139bps
Showing most recent 42 observations within your tier's window. Subscribe to see deeper history →
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- brad_raffensperger Brad Raffensperger
- burt_jones Burt Jones
- rick_jackson Rick Jackson
- other Other
- kirkpatrick Gregg Kirkpatrick
- carr Chris Carr
§ Linked markets
Will Rick Jackson finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary?
proposal #9789: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rick_jackson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYPLACE-GOVGANOMR26-2-RJAC
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Burt Jones finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary?
proposal #9790: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=burt_jones · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYPLACE-GOVGANOMR26-2-BJON
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $7
- Status
- Inactive
Will Brad Raffensperger finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary?
proposal #9791: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brad_raffensperger · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYPLACE-GOVGANOMR26-2-BRAF
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $115
- Status
- Inactive
Will the margin of victory for Rick Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?
proposal #9834: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rick_jackson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMR26-RJAC-P1
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Will the margin of victory for Rick Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?
proposal #9835: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rick_jackson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMR26-RJAC-P4
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Inactive
Will the margin of victory for Rick Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?
proposal #9836: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rick_jackson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMR26-RJAC-P7
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Will the margin of victory for Burt Jones in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?
proposal #9840: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=burt_jones · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMR26-BJON-P1
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Will the margin of victory for Burt Jones in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?
proposal #9841: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=burt_jones · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMR26-BJON-P4
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Will the margin of victory for Burt Jones in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?
proposal #9842: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=burt_jones · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMR26-BJON-P7
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Will the margin of victory for Brad Raffensperger in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary be above 0%?
proposal #9845: title_jaccard=0.45 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brad_raffensperger · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMR26-BRAF-P50
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $5
- Status
- Inactive
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #9818: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=burt_jones · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837728
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $132.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #9823: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brad_raffensperger · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837729
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $72.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #9833: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rick_jackson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837734
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #9819: expansion: detected entity "Gregg Kirkpatrick" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 837731
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $128.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #9824: expansion: detected entity "Chris Carr" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 837726
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Status
- Inactive
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican nomination for governor? — Rick Jackson
proposal #9820: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=rick_jackson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33676
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican nomination for governor? — Burt Jones
proposal #9821: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=burt_jones · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32132
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican nomination for governor? — Brad Raffensperger
proposal #9822: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brad_raffensperger · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32455
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican nomination for governor? — Chris Carr
proposal #9882: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=carr · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32131
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active