US Elections
2026 Georgia Governor's Race
2026_georgia_governor resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 3
- Linked markets
- 6 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #10030: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=2 · joke_filtered=4 · signature=[2026,georgia,governor,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Democrats yes | 0.303 | — | $316 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.655 | — | $19.9k | $16.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Democrats no | 0.697 | — | $316 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.345 | — | $19.9k | $16.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Republicans Yes | 0.335 | — | $14.9k | $16.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Republicans No | 0.665 | — | $14.9k | $16.8k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- republicans Republicans
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 1 percentage points?
proposal #10091: title_jaccard=0.18 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=democrats · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P1
- Matched
- 45m ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?
proposal #10092: title_jaccard=0.18 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=democrats · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P4
- Matched
- 45m ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 7 percentage points?
proposal #10093: title_jaccard=0.18 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=democrats · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P7
- Matched
- 45m ago
- Volume
- $294
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?
proposal #10094: title_jaccard=0.17 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=democrats · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P10
- Matched
- 44m ago
- Volume
- $22
- Status
- Active
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
proposal #10067: title_jaccard=0.80 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=democrats · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 629337
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Status
- Active
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
proposal #10068: title_jaccard=0.80 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=republicans · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 629338
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Status
- Active