US Elections
2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary
2026_georgia_gop_senate_primary resolves 2026-05-19
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 10
- Linked markets
- 9 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Futuur
curacao
|
Earl Carter Earl Carter | 0.070 | — | $257 | —1 | futuur | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $282.6k | $208.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Earl Carter No | 1.000 | — | $282.6k | $208.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Futuur
curacao
|
Mike Collins Mike Collins | 0.910 | — | $257 | —1 | futuur | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.500 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
NOT Mike Collins no | 0.500 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Futuur
curacao
|
Derek Dooley Derek Dooley | 0.090 | — | $257 | —1 | futuur | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $316.7k | $207.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Derek Dooley No | 1.000 | — | $316.7k | $207.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
no no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
yes yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- brad_raffensperger Brad Raffensperger
- brian_jack Brian Jack
- derek_dooley Derek Dooley
- john_king John King
- rich_mccormick Rich McCormick
- rick_allen Rick Allen
- tyler_harper Tyler Harper
- other Other
- carter Earl Carter
- collins Mike Collins
§ Linked markets
Winner of Georgia's Republican Senate primary
proposal #18248: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=0.53 · category=us_elections · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 236752
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $257
- Status
- Inactive
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
proposal #11378: expansion: detected entity "Earl Carter" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679651
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $282.6k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
proposal #11377: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=derek_dooley · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 679654
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $316.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Tyler Harper
proposal #11361: chain from discovery proposal #11202: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32051
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Brad Raffensperger
proposal #11364: chain from discovery proposal #11202: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32055
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Mike Collins
proposal #14520: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=collins · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32050
- Matched
- 31d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Buddy Carter
proposal #14521: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=carter · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32047
- Matched
- 31d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — Doug Collins
proposal #14522: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=collins · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32053
- Matched
- 31d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate nomination? — John King
proposal #11359: chain from discovery proposal #11202: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32048
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active