US Elections
2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary
2026_georgia_gop_senate_primary resolves 2026-05-19
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 10
- Linked markets
- 3 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #11202: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=7 · venues=1 · candidates=7 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,georgia,republican,senate,nomination]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Earl Carter Yes | 0.101 | — | $250.9k | $13.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Earl Carter No | 0.899 | — | $250.9k | $13.7k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Mike Collins yes | 0.100 | — | $539 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Mike Collins no | 0.900 | — | $539 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Derek Dooley Yes | 0.023 | — | $255.1k | $13.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Derek Dooley No | 0.977 | — | $255.1k | $13.3k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- brad_raffensperger Brad Raffensperger
- brian_jack Brian Jack
- derek_dooley Derek Dooley
- john_king John King
- rich_mccormick Rich McCormick
- rick_allen Rick Allen
- tyler_harper Tyler Harper
- other Other
- carter Earl Carter
- collins Mike Collins
§ Linked markets
Will Mike Collins finish 2nd in the first round of the Georgia Republican Senate primary?
proposal #11379: expansion: detected entity "Mike Collins" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEGAR26-2-MCOL
- Matched
- 54m ago
- Volume
- $539
- Status
- Active
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
proposal #11377: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=derek_dooley · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 679654
- Matched
- 54m ago
- Volume
- $255.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
proposal #11378: expansion: detected entity "Earl Carter" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679651
- Matched
- 54m ago
- Volume
- $250.9k
- Status
- Active