Fed Policy & Rates
2026 Federal Target Upper Bound Funds Rate
2026_federal_target_upper_bound resolves 2026-12-09
- Category
- Fed Policy & Rates
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 1
- Linked markets
- 12 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 0.869 | — | $6.43M | $133.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yes Yes | 0.131 | — | $6.43M | $133.1k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Federal funds rate ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- tbd_candidates TBD — candidate field not yet seeded
§ Linked markets
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4628: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168142
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4629: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168140
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4630: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168139
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $522.9k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4631: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168136
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $466.1k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4633: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168844
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $254.5k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4634: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168832
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $220.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4635: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168138
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $197.7k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4636: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168134
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $167.1k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4637: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168833
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $137.2k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4638: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168834
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $141.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4639: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168843
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $139.3k
- Status
- Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
proposal #4632: chain from discovery proposal #4246: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1168141
- Matched
- 44d ago
- Volume
- $420.5k
- Status
- Active