US Elections
2026 Arizona Republican Governor Primary
2026_arizona_gop_governor_primary resolves 2026-08-04
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 3 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #11203: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=4 · venues=1 · candidates=3 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,arizona,republican,governor,nomination]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
us
|
Andy Biggs yes | 0.930 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Andy Biggs no | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
David Schweikert yes | 0.150 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT David Schweikert no | 0.850 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Karrin Taylor Robson yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Karrin Taylor Robson no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- andy_biggs Andy Biggs
- david_schweikert David Schweikert
- karrin_taylor_robson Karrin Taylor Robson
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Who will win the 2026 Arizona Republican nomination for governor? — Andy Biggs
proposal #11243: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=andy_biggs · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32129
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Arizona Republican nomination for governor? — David Schweikert
proposal #11244: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=david_schweikert · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32532
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Arizona Republican nomination for governor? — Karrin Taylor Robson
proposal #11245: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=karrin_taylor_robson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32130
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active