US Elections
2026 Arizona Republican Governor Primary
2026_arizona_gop_governor_primary resolves 2026-08-04
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 9 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Andy Biggs yes | 0.964 | — | $43.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.987 | — | $10.9k | $5.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.955 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Andy Biggs no | 0.036 | — | $43.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.013 | — | $10.9k | $5.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.045 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
David Schweikert yes | 0.021 | — | $4.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $6.7k | $5.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.045 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT David Schweikert no | 0.979 | — | $4.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.993 | — | $6.7k | $5.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.955 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Karrin Taylor Robson yes | 0.0055 | — | $10.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.011 | — | $53.3k | $5.5k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Karrin Taylor Robson no | 0.995 | — | $10.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.990 | — | $53.3k | $5.5k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- andy_biggs Andy Biggs
- david_schweikert David Schweikert
- karrin_taylor_robson Karrin Taylor Robson
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Andy Biggs be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?
proposal #31878: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=andy_biggs · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- KXGOVAZNOMR-26-AB
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Karrin Taylor Robson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?
proposal #31883: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=karrin_taylor_robson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- KXGOVAZNOMR-26-KTR
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Dave Schweikert be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?
proposal #31884: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=david_schweikert · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- KXGOVAZNOMR-26-DSCH
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #49916: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=0.77 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=andy_biggs · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- 822237
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #47088: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.77 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=karrin_taylor_robson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- 822239
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $53.3k
- Status
- Active
Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #48992: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=0.77 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=david_schweikert · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- 822238
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Arizona Republican nomination for governor? — Andy Biggs
proposal #11243: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=andy_biggs · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32129
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Arizona Republican nomination for governor? — Karrin Taylor Robson
proposal #11245: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=karrin_taylor_robson · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32130
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Arizona Republican nomination for governor? — David Schweikert
proposal #11244: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=david_schweikert · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=az
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32532
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active