Sports
2026 FIFA World Cup
world_cup_fifa resolves 2026-06-29
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 142
- Linked markets
- 26 · 3 venues
[resolution by news] BBC Sport: Larin equaliser earns Canada first ever World Cup point (https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/videos/cjdgnm0m7z8o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss)
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Argentina Yes | 0.084 | — | $42.52M | $7.90M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Argentina No | 0.916 | — | $42.52M | $7.90M | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Asian/Oceanic yes | 0.635 | — | $6.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Asian/Oceanic no | 0.365 | — | $6.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Austria Yes | 0.185 | — | $57.5k | $39.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Austria No | 0.815 | — | $57.5k | $39.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cape Verde Yes | 0.012 | — | $89.4k | $58.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cape Verde No | 0.988 | — | $89.4k | $58.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Croatia Yes | 0.225 | — | $44.4k | $28.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Croatia No | 0.775 | — | $44.4k | $28.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ecuador Yes | 0.045 | — | $88.1k | $14.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ecuador No | 0.955 | — | $88.1k | $14.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
England Top Team Goalscorer Yes | 0.0005 | — | $5.5k | $30.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT England Top Team Goalscorer No | 1.000 | — | $5.5k | $30.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Germany Yes | 0.755 | — | $244.1k | $27.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Germany No | 0.245 | — | $244.1k | $27.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ivory Coast Yes | 0.201 | — | $73.9k | $17.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ivory Coast No | 0.799 | — | $73.9k | $17.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jordan Yes | 0.013 | — | $32.9k | $52.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jordan No | 0.987 | — | $32.9k | $52.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Mexico Yes | 0.635 | — | $404.4k | $48.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mexico No | 0.365 | — | $404.4k | $48.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Morocco Yes | 0.295 | — | $224.2k | $65.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Morocco No | 0.705 | — | $224.2k | $65.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Netherlands Yes | 0.465 | — | $169.4k | $27.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Netherlands No | 0.535 | — | $169.4k | $27.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Paraguay Yes | 0.022 | — | $197.6k | $35.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Paraguay No | 0.978 | — | $197.6k | $35.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Portugal Yes | 0.645 | — | $231.5k | $42.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Portugal No | 0.355 | — | $231.5k | $42.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Qatar Yes | 0.025 | — | $115.7k | $54.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Qatar No | 0.976 | — | $115.7k | $54.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Senegal Yes | 0.095 | — | $95.9k | $42.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Senegal No | 0.905 | — | $95.9k | $42.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
South Korea Yes | 0.335 | — | $180.5k | $68.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT South Korea No | 0.665 | — | $180.5k | $68.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Spain Yes | 0.795 | — | $74.5k | $28.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Spain No | 0.205 | — | $74.5k | $28.7k | polymarket | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
Total Tournament Goals Yes | 50.000 | — | $18 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Limitless Exchange
|
NOT Total Tournament Goals No | 50.000 | — | $18 | —1 | limitless | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Trump yes | 0.605 | — | $49.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Trump no | 0.395 | — | $49.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Tunisia Yes | 0.012 | — | $72.6k | $34.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tunisia No | 0.988 | — | $72.6k | $34.9k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- tunisia Tunisia
- group Group
- round Round
- bosnia Bosnia
- herzegovina Herzegovina
- semifinals Semifinals
- mexico Mexico
- south-korea South Korea
- afc AFC
- ivory-coast Ivory Coast
- winner Winner
- brazil Brazil
- conmebol CONMEBOL
- norway Norway
- reach-round Reach Round
- caf CAF
- france France
- qualify Qualify
- most-clean-sheets-gk Most Clean Sheets GK
- reach-semi Reach Semi
- qatar Qatar
- group-stage Group Stage
- portugal Portugal
- dr-congo DR Congo
- icc ICC
- women-scotland Women Scotland
- ireland Ireland
- day Day
- specials Specials
- top-scorer-nation Top Scorer Nation
- goals-h2h-messi Goals H2H Messi
- ronaldo Ronaldo
- young-player-award Young Player Award
- which Which
- iran Iran
- lol-vivo-keyd-stars LoL Vivo Keyd Stars
- los-bo3 LOS BO3
- esports Esports
- south-america South America
- latam-qualifier-playoffs LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
- portugal-stage Portugal Stage
- elimination Elimination
- argentina Argentina
- who Who
- final-ht Final HT
- panama Panama
- morocco Morocco
- scotland Scotland
- quarterfinals Quarterfinals
- final Final
- europe Europe
- asian-oceanic Asian/Oceanic
- african African
- lionel-messi Lionel Messi
- cristiano-ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo
- korea-republic Korea Republic
- south-africa South Africa
- haiti Haiti
- curacao Curacao
- japan Japan
- sweden Sweden
- belgium Belgium
- egypt Egypt
- ir-iran IR Iran
- new-zealand New Zealand
- spain Spain
- saudi-arabia Saudi Arabia
- cape-verde Cape Verde
- iraq Iraq
- austria Austria
- algeria Algeria
- jordan Jordan
- uzbekistan Uzbekistan
- czechia Czechia
- australia Australia
- ecuador Ecuador
- netherlands Netherlands
- uruguay Uruguay
- congo-dr Congo DR
- turkiye Turkiye
- germany Germany
- ghana Ghana
- reach Reach
- concacaf CONCACAF
- golden-ball Golden Ball
- womens Women's
- bangladesh Bangladesh
- india India
- pakistan Pakistan
- sri-lanka Sri Lanka
- west-indies West Indies
- canada Canada
- england-top-team-goalscorer England Top Team Goalscorer
- tournament-highest-scoring-team Tournament Highest Scoring Team
- mexico-canada Mexico Canada
- winning-confederation Winning Confederation
- england England
- england-starting-xi England Starting XI
- croatia Croatia
- goalkeepers Goalkeepers
- golden-boot-winner Golden Boot Winner
- most-goal-contributions Most Goal Contributions
- defenders Defenders
- argentina-stage Argentina Stage
- germany-stage Germany Stage
- uefa UEFA
- spain-stage Spain Stage
- brazil-stage Brazil Stage
- what What
- james-corden James Corden
- fox FOX
- hours Hours
- england-stage England Stage
- team Team
- knockout-stages Knockout Stages
- senegal Senegal
- goals-h2h-haaland Goals H2H Haaland
- alvarez Alvarez
- match Match
- trump Trump
- switzerland Switzerland
- golden-glove Golden Glove
- reach-quarter Reach Quarter
- winner-golden-boot Winner/Golden Boot
- paraguay Paraguay
- winning-group Winning Group
- most-assists Most Assists
- qualifiers Qualifiers
- name Name
- finalists Finalists
- women-australia Women Australia
- united-states United States
- women-west-indies Women West Indies
- colombia Colombia
- total-tournament-goals-o-u Total Tournament Goals O/U
- goals-h2h-neymar Goals H2H Neymar
- vinicius-jr Vinicius Jr
- total-tournament-goals Total Tournament Goals
- midfielders Midfielders
- forwards Forwards
- france-stage France Stage
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?
proposal #300298: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=0.85 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump
- External ID
- KXTRUMPWORLDCUP-26-DJT-1
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Status
- Active
How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?
proposal #300299: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=0.85 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump
- External ID
- KXTRUMPWORLDCUP-26-DJT-2
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Status
- Active
How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?
proposal #300300: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=0.85 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=trump
- External ID
- KXTRUMPWORLDCUP-26-DJT-3
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Status
- Active
Will any Asian/Oceanic nations win their group in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
proposal #298861: title_jaccard=0.40 · date_prox=0.89 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=asian-oceanic
- External ID
- KXWCWINGROUP-26ASOC-1
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Status
- Active
Lamine Yamal to score 3 or more goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296896: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=0.63 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=total-tournament-goals
- External ID
- limitless_230980
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Harry Kane to score 5 or more goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #297005: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=0.63 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=total-tournament-goals
- External ID
- limitless_230982
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $18
- Status
- Active
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296612: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=morocco
- External ID
- 839400
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $224.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296981: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=0.65 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=argentina
- External ID
- 558938
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $42.32M
- Status
- Active
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #297396: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=portugal
- External ID
- 840171
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $231.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #297439: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=austria
- External ID
- 839971
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $57.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #297695: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=senegal
- External ID
- 839960
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $95.9k
- Status
- Active
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #298822: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=south-korea
- External ID
- 839359
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $180.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #299197: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mexico
- External ID
- 839357
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $404.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #299273: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=germany
- External ID
- 839429
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $244.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #299289: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=argentina
- External ID
- 839969
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $202.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #299549: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=qatar
- External ID
- 839396
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $115.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #299782: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=croatia
- External ID
- 840396
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $44.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #297604: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=cape-verde
- External ID
- 839562
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $89.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #297929: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=paraguay
- External ID
- 839421
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $197.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296588: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=tunisia
- External ID
- 839437
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $72.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #298118: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=spain
- External ID
- 839561
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $74.5k
- Status
- Active
Will a player representing Australia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296908: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=0.32 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=england-top-team-goalscorer
- External ID
- 2070964
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296841: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ivory-coast
- External ID
- 839431
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #297258: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=netherlands
- External ID
- 839434
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $169.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296611: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ecuador
- External ID
- 839432
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $88.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #296903: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.97 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=jordan
- External ID
- 839972
- Matched
- 1d ago
- Volume
- $32.9k
- Status
- Active