Geopolitics
Will US Withdraw from NATO Before 2027
us_withdraw_nato resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #11464: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=2 · venues=1 · candidates=0 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[us,withdraw,nato]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
no No | 0.915 | — | $968.8k | $57.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
yes Yes | 0.085 | — | $968.8k | $57.9k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
proposal #11474: title_jaccard=1.00 · date_prox=1.00 · category=geopolitics · year_overlap
- External ID
- 665480
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $968.8k
- Status
- Active