Corporate Actions
SpaceX IPO Market Cap
spacex_ipo_valuation
- Category
- Corporate Actions
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 13
- Linked markets
- 9 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #10727: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=7 · venues=1 · candidates=3 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[spacex,ipo,market,cap]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Anthropic Yes | 0.059 | — | $354.7k | $7.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Anthropic No | 0.941 | — | $354.7k | $7.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
ByteDance Yes | 0.0015 | — | $92.8k | $12.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT ByteDance No | 0.999 | — | $92.8k | $12.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Databricks Yes | 0.018 | — | $77.3k | $11.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Databricks No | 0.982 | — | $77.3k | $11.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Discord Yes | 0.0095 | — | $76.9k | $17.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Discord No | 0.991 | — | $76.9k | $17.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Kraken Yes | 0.0070 | — | $381.2k | $12.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kraken No | 0.993 | — | $381.2k | $12.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Revolut Yes | 0.0040 | — | $43.6k | $20.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Revolut No | 0.996 | — | $43.6k | $20.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
SHEIN Yes | 0.0015 | — | $61.5k | $12.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT SHEIN No | 0.999 | — | $61.5k | $12.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Stripe Yes | 0.0025 | — | $44.6k | $20.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Stripe No | 0.998 | — | $44.6k | $20.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Waymo Yes | 0.0035 | — | $53.8k | $15.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Waymo No | 0.997 | — | $53.8k | $15.1k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- spacex_ipo SpaceX IPO
- ipo IPO
- spacexs SpaceX's
- other Other
- kraken Kraken
- anthropic Anthropic
- bytedance ByteDance
- databricks Databricks
- discord Discord
- shein SHEIN
- waymo Waymo
- stripe Stripe
- revolut Revolut
§ Linked markets
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10810: expansion: detected entity "Kraken" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321573
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $381.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10811: expansion: detected entity "Anthropic" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321564
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $354.7k
- Status
- Active
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10812: expansion: detected entity "ByteDance" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321563
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $92.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10813: expansion: detected entity "Databricks" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321566
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $77.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10814: expansion: detected entity "Discord" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321571
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Status
- Active
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10815: expansion: detected entity "SHEIN" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321567
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $61.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10816: expansion: detected entity "Waymo" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321569
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $53.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10817: expansion: detected entity "Stripe" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321565
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
proposal #10818: expansion: detected entity "Revolut" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1321570
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $43.6k
- Status
- Active