Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №758 · Last revised 2026-06-21
Open

Sports

Finish First World Group Cup

finish_first_world_group_cup resolves 2026-07-11

Category
Sports
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
43
Linked markets
9 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
no no 0.565 — $1.95M —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.435 — $1.95M —1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Probability-sum arbs

For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.

  1. kalshi
    Sum of YES = $2.875 across 9 candidates — excess 188¢
    18750 bps

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • ghana Ghana
  • group Group
  • canada Canada
  • algeria Algeria
  • argentina Argentina
  • england England
  • colombia Colombia
  • portugal Portugal
  • congo-dr Congo DR
  • jordan Jordan
  • senegal Senegal
  • france France
  • norway Norway
  • uruguay Uruguay
  • spain Spain
  • ir-iran IR Iran
  • egypt Egypt
  • new-zealand New Zealand
  • belgium Belgium
  • japan Japan
  • tunisia Tunisia
  • scotland Scotland
  • ecuador Ecuador
  • germany Germany
  • switzerland Switzerland
  • ivory-coast Ivory Coast
  • morocco Morocco
  • iraq Iraq
  • croatia Croatia
  • uzbekistan Uzbekistan
  • cape-verde Cape Verde
  • netherlands Netherlands
  • curacao Curacao
  • qatar Qatar
  • bosnia Bosnia
  • herzegovina Herzegovina
  • panama Panama
  • austria Austria
  • saudi-arabia Saudi Arabia
  • sweden Sweden
  • haiti Haiti
  • brazil Brazil
  • other Other / No candidate named