US Elections
2026 Michigan Senate Election
2026_us_senate_michigan resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 5 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Democrat Democrat | 0.855 | — | $258 | $305 | betfair | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Dana Nessel yes | 0.0020 | — | $909 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Dana Nessel no | 0.998 | — | $909 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
no no | 0.520 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Republican Republican | 0.323 | — | $258 | $305 | betfair | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Kristen McDonald Rivet yes | 0.0030 | — | $193 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Kristen McDonald Rivet no | 0.997 | — | $193 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
yes yes | 0.480 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Michigan Senate election, 2018 ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- elections Elections
- republicans Republicans
- other Other
- nessel Dana Nessel
- rivet Kristen McDonald Rivet
§ Linked markets
USA 2026 Midterm Elections · Michigan Senate Election Winner
proposal #10733: chain from discovery proposal #10718: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.250479071
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $258
- Status
- Active
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?
proposal #31112: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=rivet · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- KXSENATEMID-26-KMCD
- Matched
- 13d ago
- Volume
- $193
- Status
- Active
Will Dana Nessel be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?
proposal #31111: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=nessel · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- KXSENATEMID-26-DNES
- Matched
- 13d ago
- Volume
- $909
- Status
- Active
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan? — Democratic
proposal #10734: chain from discovery proposal #10718: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31954
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan? — Republican
proposal #10735: chain from discovery proposal #10718: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31953
- Matched
- 40d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active