US Elections
2026 Michigan Senate Election
2026_us_senate_michigan resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #10718: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=5 · venues=3 · candidates=3 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,michigan,senate,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Democrats Yes | 0.765 | — | $79.2k | $13.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Democrats No | 0.235 | — | $79.2k | $13.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Republicans Yes | 0.230 | — | $27.3k | $14.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Republicans No | 0.770 | — | $27.3k | $14.6k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- elections Elections
- republicans Republicans
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
proposal #10736: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=democrats · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- 630805
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $79.2k
- Status
- Active
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
proposal #10737: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=republicans · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mi
- External ID
- 630806
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Status
- Active