US Elections
2026 Kentucky Senate Republican Primary
2026_kentucky_senate_primary resolves 2026-05-19
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 7
- Linked markets
- 10 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #10610: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=5 · venues=1 · candidates=4 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,kentucky,senate,republican]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Andy Barr Yes | 0.927 | — | $31.9k | $15.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.970 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Andy Barr No | 0.073 | — | $31.9k | $15.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.030 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Daniel Cameron Yes | 0.025 | — | $18.9k | $16.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Daniel Cameron No | 0.975 | — | $18.9k | $16.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Wende Kennedy Yes | 0.0005 | — | $16.0k | $6.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Wende Kennedy No | 1.000 | — | $16.0k | $6.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Michael Faris Yes | 0.0005 | — | $14.6k | $6.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Michael Faris No | 1.000 | — | $14.6k | $6.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Nate Morris Yes | 0.0060 | — | $23.3k | $13.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Nate Morris No | 0.994 | — | $23.3k | $13.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Andrew Shelley Yes | 0.0015 | — | $60.6k | $9.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Andrew Shelley No | 0.999 | — | $60.6k | $9.0k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- andy_barr Andy Barr
- daniel_cameron Daniel Cameron
- michael_faris Michael Faris
- nate_morris Nate Morris
- other Other
- shelley Andrew Shelley
- kennedy Wende Kennedy
§ Linked markets
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
proposal #10670: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=andy_barr · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- 788460
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $31.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
proposal #10673: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=daniel_cameron · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- 788461
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Mike Faris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
proposal #10676: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=michael_faris · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- 788462
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
proposal #10677: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=nate_morris · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- 788464
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
proposal #10668: expansion: detected entity "Andrew Shelley" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 788465
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $60.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Wende Kennedy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
proposal #10675: expansion: detected entity "Wende Kennedy" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 788463
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate nomination? — Andy Barr
proposal #10623: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=andy_barr · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32207
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate nomination? — Daniel Cameron
proposal #10624: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=daniel_cameron · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32209
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate nomination? — Nate Morris
proposal #10625: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=nate_morris · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32208
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate nomination? — Michael Faris
proposal #10626: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=michael_faris · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=ky
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32210
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active