Sports
2026 F1 Constructors' Champion
2026_f1_constructors_champion resolves 2026-12-06
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 12
- Linked markets
- 7 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #5293: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · [merged 3 clusters] Three individual-candidate binaries on the same F1 championship race (2026 season, same resolution date). Canonical categorical with observed constructors plus 'other' catch-all. | merged: Three individual-candidate binary markets on the same F1 constructors championship race with identical resolution date. Canonical categorical event with observed teams plus 'other' catch-all. | merged: Three binary markets on the same F1 championship, same resolution date, different constructor teams. Canonica · cluster=9
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Alpine Yes | 0.0045 | — | $1.77M | $107.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Alpine No | 0.996 | — | $1.77M | $107.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Aston Martin Yes | 0.0035 | — | $1.68M | $123.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Aston Martin No | 0.997 | — | $1.68M | $123.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cadillac Yes | 0.0035 | — | $1.39M | $121.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cadillac No | 0.997 | — | $1.39M | $121.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ferrari Yes | 0.115 | — | $285.2k | $52.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ferrari No | 0.885 | — | $285.2k | $52.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Haas Yes | 0.0045 | — | $1.75M | $107.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Haas No | 0.996 | — | $1.75M | $107.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Mercedes Yes | 0.765 | — | $556.2k | $58.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mercedes No | 0.235 | — | $556.2k | $58.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Red Bull Racing Yes | 0.017 | — | $512.9k | $90.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Red Bull Racing No | 0.984 | — | $512.9k | $90.4k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- williams Williams
- alpine Alpine
- haas Haas
- aston_martin Aston Martin
- audi Audi
- mclaren McLaren
- racing_bulls Racing Bulls
- red_bull_racing Red Bull Racing
- cadillac Cadillac
- other Other
- mercedes Mercedes
- ferrari Ferrari
§ Linked markets
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
proposal #5470: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=alpine
- External ID
- 898668
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.77M
- Status
- Active
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
proposal #5471: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=haas
- External ID
- 898666
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.75M
- Status
- Active
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
proposal #5476: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=cadillac
- External ID
- 898669
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.39M
- Status
- Active
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
proposal #5472: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=aston_martin
- External ID
- 898665
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Status
- Active
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
proposal #5477: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=red_bull_racing
- External ID
- 898661
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $512.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
proposal #5860: expansion: detected entity "Mercedes" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898660
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $556.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
proposal #5886: expansion: detected entity "Ferrari" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898662
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $285.2k
- Status
- Active