Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №148 · Last revised 2026-05-01
Open

US Elections

2026 Arkansas Senate Election Party Winner

2026_arkansas_senate_election resolves 2026-11-03

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
3
Linked markets
3 · 2 venues

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Betfair Exchange uk
Democrat Democrat 0.980 — $13 $106 betfair
Kalshi us
Democratics yes 0.035 — $3.8k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Democratics no 0.965 — $3.8k —1 kalshi
Betfair Exchange uk
Republican Republican 0.971 — $13 $106 betfair

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • elections Elections
  • other Other
  • democratics Democratics