Open
US Elections
Trump approval rating above 50% at year-end 2026
trump_approval_above_50_eoy_2026 resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- 538_average_or_gallup
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 0
Is President Trump's approval rating above 50% at year-end 2026 per the 538 aggregate or Gallup poll?
§ Cross-venue price panel
No linked markets yet. As Storm's matcher pairs venue markets to this event, the cross-venue price panel will populate here.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
No markets have been linked to this event yet. The matcher proposes candidate (market, event) pairings; Storm reviews each one autonomously before it becomes a link. Links appear here as venues are ingested and proposals clear.