Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №163 · Last revised 2026-04-29
Open

US Elections

Which Democrat Will Announce 2028 Presidential Run First?

2028_democratic_potus_announcement_first resolves 2027-12-31

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
12
Linked markets
0

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6917: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=10 · venues=1 · candidates=11 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2028,democratic,announce,potus,first]

§ Cross-venue price panel

No linked markets yet. As Storm's matcher pairs venue markets to this event, the cross-venue price panel will populate here.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • potus POTUS
  • andy_beshear Andy Beshear
  • gavin_newsom Gavin Newsom
  • gretchen_whitmer Gretchen Whitmer
  • jb_pritzker JB Pritzker
  • jon_ossoff Jon Ossoff
  • josh_shapiro Josh Shapiro
  • kamala_harris Kamala Harris
  • mark_kelly Mark Kelly
  • ocasio_cortez Ocasio-Cortez
  • pete_buttigieg Pete Buttigieg
  • other Other