Geopolitics
2026 Colombian Presidential Election
2026_colombian_presidential resolves 2026-05-31
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 19
- Linked markets
- 7 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #8602: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=24 · venues=2 · candidates=18 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,colombian,presidential,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Colombian Yes | 0.184 | — | $1.84M | $90.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.318 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Colombian No | 0.816 | — | $1.84M | $90.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.682 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- colombian Colombian
- claudia_lopez Claudia López
- daniel_quintero Daniel Quintero
- paloma_valencia Paloma Valencia
- roy_barreras Roy Barreras
- sergio_fajardo Sergio Fajardo
- vicky_davila Vicky Dávila
- carlos_felipe_cordoba Carlos Felipe Córdoba
- david_luna_sanchez David Luna Sánchez
- enrique_penalosa Enrique Peñalosa
- german_vargas_lleras Germán Vargas Lleras
- gustavo_bolivar Gustavo Bolívar
- ivan_cepeda_castro Ivan Cepeda Castro
- juan_carlos_pinzon Juan Carlos Pinzón
- juan_daniel_oviedo Juan Daniel Oviedo
- juan_manuel_galan Juan Manuel Galán
- luis_gilberto_murillo Luis Gilberto Murillo
- mauricio_cardenas Mauricio Cárdenas
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
proposal #8879: title_jaccard=0.40 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- 569344
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $880.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
proposal #8878: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=0.30 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- 569366
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $958.6k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Iván Cepeda
proposal #8881: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33418
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Efraín Cepeda
proposal #8883: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33419
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — A. de la Espriella
proposal #8882: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33425
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Mauricio Gómez Amín
proposal #8884: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33420
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will place first in round one of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Iván Cepeda
proposal #8885: title_jaccard=0.40 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=colombian
- External ID
- predictit_contract_34308
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active