Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №172 · Last revised 2026-04-30
Open

US Elections

2026 California Gubernatorial Primary

2026_california_governor_primary resolves 2026-06-02

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
12
Linked markets
2 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #8598: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=22 · venues=1 · candidates=11 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,california,gubernatorial,primary]

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
Antonio Villaraigosa yes 0.045 — $133 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Antonio Villaraigosa no 0.955 — $133 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Xavier Becerra yes 0.125 — $150 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Xavier Becerra no 0.875 — $150 —1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • alex_padilla Alex Padilla
  • antonio_villaraigosa Antonio Villaraigosa
  • butch_ware Butch Ware
  • chad_bianco Chad Bianco
  • che_ahn Ché Ahn
  • eric_swalwell Eric Swalwell
  • katie_porter Katie Porter
  • matt_mahan Matt Mahan
  • steve_hilton Steve Hilton
  • tom_steyer Tom Steyer
  • xavier_becerra Xavier Becerra
  • other Other