Open
AI & ML
OpenAI announces or completes IPO in 2026
openai_ipo_2026 resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- AI & ML
- Resolution basis
- s1_filing_or_public_offering
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Does OpenAI file an S-1 or otherwise publicly announce an IPO during 2026?
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
no No | 0.685 | — | $442.5k | $1.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
yes Yes | 0.315 | — | $442.5k | $1.4k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
proposal #622: title_jaccard=0.43 · category=ai_ml · year_overlap
- External ID
- 656312
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $442.5k
- Status
- Active