Open
AI & ML
AI Bubble Burst in 2026
ai_bubble_burst_2026 resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- AI & ML
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #1572: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets ask identical question with same resolution date: whether AI bubble bursts/pops in 2026. Minor wording variations are inconsequential. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
no No | 0.838 | — | $2.18M | $6.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
yes Yes | 0.162 | — | $2.18M | $6.6k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
AI bubble burst in 2026?
proposal #1626: title_jaccard=1.00 · date_prox=1.00 · category=ai_ml · year_overlap
- External ID
- 691340
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $2.18M
- Status
- Active