Sports
2025–26 UEFA Champions League Winner
2025_26_uefa_champions_league_winner resolves 2026-05-31
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 5 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #5281: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets on the same UEFA Champions League tournament (2025–26 season). Markets 1 and 3 are individual-candidate binary questions; Market 2 is the categorical tournament-winner question. Consolidate into one categorical event. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Arsenal Yes | 0.285 | — | $6.12M | $174.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Arsenal No | 0.715 | — | $6.12M | $174.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Atletico Madrid Yes | 0.089 | — | $24.15M | $180.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Atletico Madrid No | 0.910 | — | $24.15M | $180.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Bayern Munich Yes | 0.315 | — | $5.87M | $287.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Bayern Munich No | 0.685 | — | $5.87M | $287.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Club Brugge Yes | 0.0005 | — | $19.16M | $332.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Club Brugge No | 1.000 | — | $19.16M | $332.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
PSG Yes | 0.305 | — | $7.61M | $206.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT PSG No | 0.695 | — | $7.61M | $206.2k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- club_brugge Club Brugge
- bayern_munich Bayern Munich
- other Other
- atletico-madrid Atletico Madrid
- psg PSG
- arsenal Arsenal
§ Linked markets
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
proposal #5418: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=club_brugge
- External ID
- 566170
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $19.16M
- Status
- Active
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
proposal #5419: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=bayern_munich
- External ID
- 566142
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.87M
- Status
- Active
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
proposal #5421: expansion: detected entity "Atletico Madrid" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 566146
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $24.15M
- Status
- Active
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
proposal #5422: expansion: detected entity "PSG" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 566136
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.61M
- Status
- Active
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
proposal #5423: expansion: detected entity "Arsenal" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 566140
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $6.12M
- Status
- Active