US Elections
First State in 2028 Democratic Presidential Primary
presidential_democratic_primary_state_first resolves 2028-11-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 1
- Linked markets
- 12 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
no no | 0.731 | — | $18.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
yes yes | 0.269 | — | $18.9k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- tbd_candidates TBD — candidate field not yet seeded
§ Linked markets
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127017: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NH
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127018: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IA
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127019: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127020: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NV
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $350
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127021: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-MI
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $39
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127022: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-GA
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $205
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127023: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IL
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $136
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127024: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-DE
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127025: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NC
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $533
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127026: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-TN
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127027: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-VA
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
proposal #127028: chain from discovery proposal #89654: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NM
- Matched
- 10d ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active