US Elections
2028 Republican Presidential Nominee
presidency_republican_nominee_party resolves 2028-11-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 29
- Linked markets
- 26 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Brian Kemp yes | 0.0060 | — | $1.14M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.025 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Brian Kemp no | 0.994 | — | $1.14M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.975 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Byron Donalds yes | 0.0035 | — | $824.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Byron Donalds no | 0.997 | — | $824.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Donald yes | 0.028 | — | $2.91M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.045 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Donald no | 0.973 | — | $2.91M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.955 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Elise Stefanik yes | 0.0025 | — | $626.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Elise Stefanik no | 0.998 | — | $626.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Elon Musk yes | 0.0015 | — | $856.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Elon Musk no | 0.999 | — | $856.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Eric Trump yes | 0.0055 | — | $1.03M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Eric Trump no | 0.995 | — | $1.03M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Erika Kirk yes | 0.0025 | — | $611.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Erika Kirk no | 0.998 | — | $611.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Greg Abbott yes | 0.0045 | — | $1.01M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Greg Abbott no | 0.996 | — | $1.01M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Ivanka Trump yes | 0.013 | — | $1.59M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Ivanka Trump no | 0.988 | — | $1.59M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
John Thune yes | 0.0025 | — | $376.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT John Thune no | 0.998 | — | $376.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Josh Hawley yes | 0.0085 | — | $1.26M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Josh Hawley no | 0.992 | — | $1.26M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Katie Britt yes | 0.0045 | — | $620.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Katie Britt no | 0.996 | — | $620.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Lara Trump yes | 0.010 | — | $10.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Lara Trump no | 0.990 | — | $10.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Marco Rubio yes | 0.295 | — | $4.26M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.285 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Marco Rubio no | 0.705 | — | $4.26M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.715 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Matt Gaetz yes | 0.0015 | — | $812.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Matt Gaetz no | 0.999 | — | $812.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Nicki Minaj yes | 0.0025 | — | $950.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Nicki Minaj no | 0.998 | — | $950.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sarah Huckabee Sanders yes | 0.0035 | — | $924.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sarah Huckabee Sanders no | 0.997 | — | $924.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Spencer Pratt yes | 0.010 | — | $13.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Spencer Pratt no | 0.990 | — | $13.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Steve Bannon yes | 0.0035 | — | $733.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Steve Bannon no | 0.997 | — | $733.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Ted Cruz yes | 0.0095 | — | $1.12M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.020 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Ted Cruz no | 0.991 | — | $1.12M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.980 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Tulsi Gabbard yes | 0.0060 | — | $1.42M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.015 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Tulsi Gabbard no | 0.994 | — | $1.42M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.985 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- eric-trump Eric Trump
- presidency Presidency
- jeff-bezos Jeff Bezos
- greg-abbott Greg Abbott
- donald Donald
- trump Trump
- robert Robert
- kennedy-jr Kennedy Jr
- byron-donalds Byron Donalds
- elise-stefanik Elise Stefanik
- josh-hawley Josh Hawley
- katie-britt Katie Britt
- john-thune John Thune
- tulsi-gabbard Tulsi Gabbard
- nicki-minaj Nicki Minaj
- spencer-pratt Spencer Pratt
- elon-musk Elon Musk
- brian-kemp Brian Kemp
- matt-gaetz Matt Gaetz
- ted-cruz Ted Cruz
- marco-rubio Marco Rubio
- ivanka-trump Ivanka Trump
- trump-jr Trump Jr
- vice-presidency Vice Presidency
- sarah-huckabee-sanders Sarah Huckabee Sanders
- steve-bannon Steve Bannon
- erika-kirk Erika Kirk
- lara-trump Lara Trump
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Nicki Minaj be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96668: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=nicki-minaj · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-NMIN
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $950.8k
- Status
- Active
Will John Thune be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96663: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=john-thune · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-JT
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $376.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96664: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=marco-rubio · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $4.26M
- Status
- Active
Will Ivanka Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96669: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=ivanka-trump · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-ITRU
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $1.59M
- Status
- Active
Will Steve Bannon be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96666: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=steve-bannon · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-STE
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $733.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96651: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=sarah-huckabee-sanders · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-SHS
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $924.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96658: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=byron-donalds · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-BD
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $824.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96665: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=tulsi-gabbard · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-TG
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Status
- Active
Will Eric Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96670: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=eric-trump · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-ETRU
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Status
- Active
Will Lara Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96671: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=lara-trump · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-LTRU
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96657: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=matt-gaetz · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-MG
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $812.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Greg Abbott be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96652: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=greg-abbott · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-GA
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Status
- Active
Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96654: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=donald · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $2.91M
- Status
- Active
Will Elise Stefanik be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96659: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=elise-stefanik · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-ES
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $626.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96660: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=josh-hawley · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-JH
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Status
- Active
Will Erika Kirk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96667: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=erika-kirk · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-EKIR
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $611.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Spencer Pratt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96672: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=spencer-pratt · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Elon Musk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96655: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=elon-musk · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-EM
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $856.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96656: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=brian-kemp · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-BK
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Status
- Active
Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96661: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=ted-cruz · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-TC
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Status
- Active
Will Katie Britt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #96662: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=katie-britt · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-KB
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $620.3k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Ted Cruz
proposal #97588: title_jaccard=0.43 · date_prox=0.29 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ted-cruz · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31927
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Tulsi Gabbard
proposal #98914: title_jaccard=0.43 · date_prox=0.29 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=tulsi-gabbard · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31926
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Brian Kemp
proposal #100103: title_jaccard=0.43 · date_prox=0.29 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brian-kemp · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31933
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Donald Trump
proposal #97520: title_jaccard=0.43 · date_prox=0.29 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=donald · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31928
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Marco Rubio
proposal #97517: title_jaccard=0.43 · date_prox=0.29 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=marco-rubio · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31930
- Matched
- 12d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active