Next Prime Minister of United Kingdom
minister_kingdom_united_prime_next resolves 2030-01-01
- Category
- —
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 22
- Linked markets
- 3 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Darren Jones yes | 0.0055 | — | $4.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Darren Jones no | 0.995 | — | $4.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Rupert Lowe yes | 0.022 | — | $158.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Rupert Lowe no | 0.978 | — | $158.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
United Kingdom yes | 0.0035 | — | $466 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT United Kingdom no | 0.997 | — | $466 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- andrew-tate Andrew Tate
- united-kingdom United Kingdom
- angela-rayner Angela Rayner
- nigel-farage Nigel Farage
- rachel-reeves Rachel Reeves
- kemi-badenoch Kemi Badenoch
- ed-davey Ed Davey
- boris-johnson Boris Johnson
- james-cleverly James Cleverly
- yvette-cooper Yvette Cooper
- darren-jones Darren Jones
- andy-burnham Andy Burnham
- bridget-phillipson Bridget Phillipson
- rupert-lowe Rupert Lowe
- shabana-mahmood Shabana Mahmood
- david-lammy David Lammy
- ed-miliband Ed Miliband
- al-carns Al Carns
- catherine-west Catherine West
- other Other / No candidate named
- jones Darren Jones
- lowe Rupert Lowe
§ Linked markets
Will Robert Jenrick be the next United Kingdom of United Kingdom?
proposal #14877: title_jaccard=0.43 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=united-kingdom
- External ID
- KXNEXTUKPM-30-RJEN
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $466
- Status
- Active
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
proposal #14868: expansion: detected entity "Darren Jones" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXNEXTUKPM-30-DJON
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
proposal #14871: expansion: detected entity "Rupert Lowe" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXNEXTUKPM-30-RLOW
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $158.8k
- Status
- Active