Event №417 · Last revised 2026-05-28
Open

US Retail Sales: Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument & Book Stores (Jan 2027)

instrument_sporting_musical_retail_stores resolves 2027-01-14

Category
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
23
Linked markets
18 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
ForecastEx us
no no 0.354 1 $2.6k forecastex
ForecastEx us
yes yes 0.534 1 $2.6k forecastex

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • retail-sales Retail Sales
  • sporting-goods-hobby-musical Sporting Goods Hobby Musical
  • instrument Instrument
  • book-stores Book Stores
  • ur451-1226-8000-yes UR451_1226_8000 YES
  • ur451-1226-8200-no UR451_1226_8200 NO
  • ur451-1226-7600-yes UR451_1226_7600 YES
  • ur451-1226-8400-no UR451_1226_8400 NO
  • ur451-1226-8600-no UR451_1226_8600 NO
  • ur451-1226-7600-no UR451_1226_7600 NO
  • ur451-1226-8600-yes UR451_1226_8600 YES
  • ur451-1226-9000-no UR451_1226_9000 NO
  • ur451-1226-8800-no UR451_1226_8800 NO
  • ur451-1226-8800-yes UR451_1226_8800 YES
  • ur451-1226-7800-no UR451_1226_7800 NO
  • ur451-1226-8000-no UR451_1226_8000 NO
  • ur451-1226-9000-yes UR451_1226_9000 YES
  • ur451-1226-7800-yes UR451_1226_7800 YES
  • ur451-1226-7400-yes UR451_1226_7400 YES
  • ur451-1226-7400-no UR451_1226_7400 NO
  • ur451-1226-8400-yes UR451_1226_8400 YES
  • ur451-1226-8200-yes UR451_1226_8200 YES
  • other Other / No candidate named