Fed Policy & Rates
December 10 2026 FOMC Federal Funds Target Rate Decision
ff_121026_3_target_funds_rate_fed resolves 2026-12-09
- Category
- Fed Policy & Rates
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 18
- Linked markets
- 3 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Fed Funds Target Rate Yes | 0.545 | — | $1.56M | $180.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Fed Funds Target Rate No | 0.455 | — | $1.56M | $180.0k | polymarket | |
|
ForecastEx
us
|
yes yes | 0.510 | — | —1 | $482 | forecastex |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- fed-funds-target-rate Fed Funds Target Rate
- ff-121026-3-125-yes FF_121026_3.125 YES
- ff-121026-3-125-no FF_121026_3.125 NO
- ff-121026-3-375-yes FF_121026_3.375 YES
- ff-121026-3-375-no FF_121026_3.375 NO
- ff-121026-3-625-yes FF_121026_3.625 YES
- ff-121026-3-625-no FF_121026_3.625 NO
- ff-121026-3-875-yes FF_121026_3.875 YES
- ff-121026-3-875-no FF_121026_3.875 NO
- other Other / No candidate named
- ff-121026-1-875-yes FF_121026_1.875 YES
- ff-121026-1-875-no FF_121026_1.875 NO
- ff-121026-1-625-yes FF_121026_1.625 YES
- ff-121026-1-625-no FF_121026_1.625 NO
- ff-121026-1-375-yes FF_121026_1.375 YES
- ff-121026-1-375-no FF_121026_1.375 NO
- ff-121026-1-125-yes FF_121026_1.125 YES
- ff-121026-1-125-no FF_121026_1.125 NO
§ Linked markets
US Fed Funds Target Rate — FF_121026_3.125 (YES)
proposal #15130: chain from discovery proposal #13751: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- FF_121026_3.125_YES
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
US Fed Funds Target Rate — FF_121026_3.875 (YES)
proposal #15136: chain from discovery proposal #13751: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- FF_121026_3.875_YES
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Fed rate hike in 2026?
proposal #15217: title_jaccard=0.20 · date_prox=1.00 · category=fed_policy · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=fed-funds-target-rate
- External ID
- 908713
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $1.56M
- Status
- Active